Oddevold vs IK brage preview
In the Superettan fixture between Oddevold and IK Brage, the 1X2 probabilities show Oddevold at 71%, while IK Brage sits at 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Oddevold's expected goals of 2.52 compared to IK Brage's 0.91.
However, Oddevold's recent form includes a mix of wins and losses, while IK Brage has struggled, winning only 1 of their last 6 matches. The model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 56%. If IK Brage can improve their performance, this could impact the expected outcomes.
Oddevold vs IK brage: model vs market
| Source | Oddevold | Draw | IK brage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Oddevold and IK brage expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.99
- Attack rating (Oddevold / IK brage)
- 1.32 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Oddevold / IK brage)
- 0.86 / 1.38
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Oddevold vs IK brage score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Oddevold goals. Columns: IK brage goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Oddevold vs IK brage goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Oddevold vs IK brage
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oddevold | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.36 | |
| IK brage | 11% | 8.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.19 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Oddevold or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or IK brage) | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Oddevold win by 2+ | 54% | 1.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Oddevold and IK brage recent form
Oddevold
3W 1D 2L
IK brage
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Oddevold at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IK brage away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-8
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.79
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Oddevold at home only, IK brage away only.
Oddevold vs IK brage head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Oddevold 3 · draws 0 · IK brage 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | IK brage | 3-4 | Oddevold | Superettan |
| 2025-09-13 | Oddevold | 4-0 | IK brage | Superettan |
| 2025-05-18 | IK brage | 1-2 | Oddevold | Superettan |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall 2026-10-31
- Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Oddevold, previous: Oddevold – GIF Sundsvall, 2026-10-23
- IK brage, previous: IK brage vs Osters IF: odds and pick