United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall preview
In the Superettan fixture between United Nordic and GIF Sundsvall, the 1X2 probabilities show United Nordic at 70%, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0 at 11%. The expected goals for United Nordic are 2.36, while GIF Sundsvall sits at 0.87.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. United Nordic's last five matches include 1 win and 4 losses, while GIF Sundsvall has 1 win and 5 losses. Despite United Nordic's strong probabilities, the potential for both teams to score is at 53%, which could challenge the predicted scoreline.
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall: model vs market
| Source | United Nordic | Draw | GIF Sundsvall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| Market | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Published | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.87.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall odds movement
Median bookmaker price on United Nordic, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Nordic | 1.42 | 1.43 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.65 | 4.65 | +0.00 |
| GIF Sundsvall | 6.03 | 6.00 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
United Nordic and GIF Sundsvall expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (United Nordic / GIF Sundsvall)
- 0.91 / 0.51
- Defence rating (United Nordic / GIF Sundsvall)
- 1.29 / 1.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: United Nordic goals. Columns: GIF Sundsvall goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | United Nordic | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.08 | |
| GIF Sundsvall | 14% | 6.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (United Nordic or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or GIF Sundsvall) | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Handicap -1 | United Nordic win by 2+ | 47% | 2.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
United Nordic and GIF Sundsvall recent form
United Nordic
1W 1D 4L
GIF Sundsvall
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
United Nordic at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GIF Sundsvall away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-12
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.36
- Goals against / match
- 2.57
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: United Nordic at home only, GIF Sundsvall away only.
United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: United Nordic 0 · draws 0 · GIF Sundsvall 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | GIF Sundsvall | 3-2 | United Nordic | Superettan |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Oddevold vs IK brage — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken 2026-10-31
- Varbergs BoIS FC v Ljungskile SK — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- United Nordic, previous: Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic: odds and pick
- GIF Sundsvall, previous: Oddevold – GIF Sundsvall, 2026-10-23