Osters IF vs Helsingborg: model vs market
| Source | Osters IF | Draw | Helsingborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 24% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Osters IF and Helsingborg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.01
- Attack rating (Osters IF / Helsingborg)
- 1.33 / 0.72
- Defence rating (Osters IF / Helsingborg)
- 1.16 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Osters IF vs Helsingborg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Osters IF goals. Columns: Helsingborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Osters IF vs Helsingborg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Osters IF vs Helsingborg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Osters IF | 55% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Helsingborg | 20% | 4.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Osters IF or draw) | 80% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Helsingborg) | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Osters IF win by 2+ | 33% | 3.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Osters IF and Helsingborg recent form
Osters IF
3W 0D 3L
Helsingborg
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Osters IF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-1-5
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.21
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 14
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Helsingborg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.93
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Osters IF at home only, Helsingborg away only.
Osters IF vs Helsingborg head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Osters IF 0 · draws 0 · Helsingborg 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Helsingborg | 4-1 | Osters IF | Superettan |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Oddevold vs IK brage — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- United Nordic vs GIF Sundsvall 2026-10-31
- Falkenbergs FF vs Sandviken 2026-10-31
- Varbergs BoIS FC v Ljungskile SK — match page 2026-11-01
- Landskrona BoIS v Orebro SK — match page 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Osters IF, previous: IK brage vs Osters IF: odds and pick
- Helsingborg, previous: Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK prediction