Orebro SK vs Osters IF preview
In the Superettan fixture between Orebro SK and Osters IF, the 1X2 probabilities show Orebro SK at 51% and Osters IF at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 8%. The model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.
Orebro SK's recent form is L-W-D-D-L-D, while Osters IF has a better record of W-W-W-L-L-W. The expected goals are 1.68 for Orebro SK and 1.82 for Osters IF. The confidence grade is C, suggesting that while the numbers favor Orebro SK, fluctuations in form or unexpected performances could impact the outcome.
Orebro SK vs Osters IF: model vs market
| Source | Orebro SK | Draw | Osters IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| Published | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| Edge | -5% | +1% | +5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Orebro SK vs Osters IF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Orebro SK, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orebro SK | 1.62 | 1.65 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.31 | +0.06 |
| Osters IF | 4.42 | 4.20 | -0.21 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Orebro SK and Osters IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.51
- Attack rating (Orebro SK / Osters IF)
- 1.02 / 1.37
- Defence rating (Orebro SK / Osters IF)
- 1.02 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Orebro SK vs Osters IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Orebro SK goals. Columns: Osters IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Orebro SK vs Osters IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Orebro SK vs Osters IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orebro SK | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 | |
| Osters IF | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Orebro SK or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Osters IF) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Orebro SK win by 2+ | 18% | 5.54 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Orebro SK and Osters IF recent form
Orebro SK
1W 3D 2L
Osters IF
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Orebro SK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.86
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Osters IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-7
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Orebro SK at home only, Osters IF away only.
Expected lineups
Orebro SK lineup · 4-4-2
- 75 J. Ojrzyński
- 32 J. Stenberg
- 20 M. Watson
- 3 V. Sandberg
- 25 C. Amatkarijo
- 5 J. Ortmark
- 8 M. Kusu
- 23 E. Rakip
- 9 A. Yakoub
- 10 R. Wiedesheim-Paul
- 17 K. Holmberg
Bench: E. Ibrahimbegovic, S. Wikman, C. Redenstrand, D. Salihović, L. Astvald, H. Söderström, F. Wahlstrom, Giuseppe Bovalina
Osters IF lineup · 4-3-3
- 1 C. Lundahl Persson
- 16 R. Adjei
- 5 M. Adolfsson
- 29 M. Due Grandt
- 15 T. Varmanen
- 6 N. Söderberg
- 17 H. Pijaca
- 18 K. Marrah
- 23 S. Burakovsky
- 9 K. Jawla
- 10 O. Uddenäs
Bench: S. Hedlund, Isak Järdler, D. Ask, F. Olsson, M. Tamminen, V. Lind, N. Ganovic, N. Ayorinde, M. Hartmann
Orebro SK vs Osters IF head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Orebro SK 1 · draws 4 · Osters IF 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Osters IF | 0-0 | Orebro SK | Superettan |
| 2026-02-21 | Osters IF | 3-3 | Orebro SK | Svenska Cupen |
| 2024-10-27 | Orebro SK | 0-1 | Osters IF | Superettan |
| 2024-04-16 | Osters IF | 2-0 | Orebro SK | Superettan |
| 2023-10-07 | Osters IF | 3-0 | Orebro SK | Superettan |
| 2023-07-07 | Orebro SK | 1-1 | Osters IF | Superettan |
| 2022-08-16 | Osters IF | 1-1 | Orebro SK | Superettan |
| 2022-05-14 | Orebro SK | 2-1 | Osters IF | Superettan |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold 2026-11-07
- Helsingborg v Falkenbergs FF — match page 2026-11-07
- IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS 2026-11-07
- IK brage v Norrby IF — match page 2026-11-07
- Sandviken vs United Nordic — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Orebro SK, previous: Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SK: odds and pick
- Osters IF, previous: Osters IF v Helsingborg analysis