GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC Prediction & Betting Tips 07/11/2026

GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC preview

In the Superettan fixture, GIF Sundsvall faces Varbergs BoIS FC with 10% for Sundsvall to win and 73% for Varbergs to take the victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with Varbergs expected to score 2.19 goals compared to Sundsvall's 0.83.

While Over 2.5 goals has a probability of 58% and both teams to score sits at 51%, the match could deviate from these predictions if Sundsvall manages to improve their form, as they have lost 4 of their last 6 matches. Varbergs, on the other hand, has shown more consistency with 4 draws and 2 wins in their recent games.

GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	GIF Sundsvall	Draw	Varbergs BoIS FC
Model	12%	21%	67%
Market	9%	16%	75%
Published	10%	17%	73%
Edge	+1%	+1%	-2%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.83.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.27, recorded 2026-11-07 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Varbergs BoIS FC, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-04.

Opened 1.24Now 1.22 -0.02

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
GIF Sundsvall	9.85	10.00	+0.15
Draw	5.88	5.80	-0.08
Varbergs BoIS FC	1.24	1.22	-0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

GIF Sundsvall and Varbergs BoIS FC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.83GIF Sundsvall

2.19Varbergs BoIS FC

Total expected goals: 3.02
Attack rating (GIF Sundsvall / Varbergs BoIS FC): 0.60 / 0.98
Defence rating (GIF Sundsvall / Varbergs BoIS FC): 1.71 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.8% 9.8% 11.7% 8.5% 7.7% 1 3.2% 9.8% 9.7% 7.1% 6.5% 2 1.7% 3.7% 4.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.7% 4+ 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Rows: GIF Sundsvall goals. Columns: Varbergs BoIS FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 81%

Over 2.5 58%

Over 3.5 36%

Both teams to score: 51%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	GIF Sundsvall	10%	10.11
	Draw	17%	5.89
	Varbergs BoIS FC	73%	1.37
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.72
	Under 2.5	42%	2.39
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	1.96
	No	49%	2.05
Double chance	1X (GIF Sundsvall or draw)	27%	3.72
	12 (either side)	83%	1.20
	X2 (draw or Varbergs BoIS FC)	90%	1.11
Handicap -1	Varbergs BoIS FC win by 2+	44%	2.25
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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GIF Sundsvall and Varbergs BoIS FC recent form

GIF Sundsvall 1W 0D 5L

Varbergs BoIS FC 2W 4D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

GIF Sundsvall at home

Record (W-D-L): 4-1-9
Win rate: 29%
Goals for / match: 1.00
Goals against / match: 2.07
Clean sheets: 1 of 14

They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
They have failed to score in 15 of 29 matches.
They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Varbergs BoIS FC away

Record (W-D-L): 5-6-3
Win rate: 36%
Goals for / match: 1.64
Goals against / match: 1.36
Clean sheets: 2 of 14

They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: GIF Sundsvall at home only, Varbergs BoIS FC away only.

Expected lineups

GIF Sundsvall lineup · 4-4-2

1 J. Olsson
3 M. Hallin
25 Charles Baah
18 L. Forsberg
19 E. Gojani
27 A. Bahtijar
16 E. Hansson
26 E. Carrick
21 K. Sulaiman
9 T. Kagayama

Bench: S. Tammivuori, Shalom Ekong, Jeremiah Björnler, E. Bengtsson, J. Mambu, W. Bjuhr

Varbergs BoIS FC lineup · 4-3-3

29 K. Strindholm
5 E. Hellman
17 E. Tellgren
2 G. Broman
22 N. Dahlström
8 A. Winbo
28 E. Sadiku
21 I. Vidjeskog
23 L. Sibelius
14 O. Alfonsi
7 W. Ärlig

Bench: O. Ekman, H. Zackrisson, L. Shabani, N. Johansson, J. Lindner, J. Nilsson, O. Werner, O. Brynéus, S. Borgelin

GIF Sundsvall vs Varbergs BoIS FC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: GIF Sundsvall 1 · draws 1 · Varbergs BoIS FC 6.

12% 12% 76%

GIF SundsvallDrawsVarbergs BoIS FC

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-05-24	Varbergs BoIS FC	1-0	GIF Sundsvall	Superettan
2025-09-13	GIF Sundsvall	2-3	Varbergs BoIS FC	Superettan
2025-07-20	Varbergs BoIS FC	0-2	GIF Sundsvall	Superettan
2024-08-16	Varbergs BoIS FC	3-0	GIF Sundsvall	Superettan
2024-04-27	GIF Sundsvall	1-1	Varbergs BoIS FC	Superettan
2022-07-30	GIF Sundsvall	1-3	Varbergs BoIS FC	Allsvenskan
2022-04-16	Varbergs BoIS FC	2-0	GIF Sundsvall	Allsvenskan
2020-03-01	GIF Sundsvall	1-4	Varbergs BoIS FC	Svenska Cupen

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

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Ostersunds FK vs Oddevold 2026-11-07
Helsingborg v Falkenbergs FF — match page 2026-11-07
IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS 2026-11-07
IK brage v Norrby IF — match page 2026-11-07
Sandviken vs United Nordic — team news & stats 2026-11-07

Before and after this match

GIF Sundsvall, previous: United Nordic – GIF Sundsvall, 2026-10-31
Varbergs BoIS FC, previous: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK prediction

Prediction snapshot Varbergs BoIS FC to win Predicted score 0 – 2 C Bet on Varbergs BoIS FC