Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC preview
In the Superettan fixture between Landskrona BoIS and Varbergs BoIS FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Landskrona BoIS at 47%, while Varbergs BoIS FC stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Landskrona BoIS has an expected goals figure of 1.79 compared to Varbergs' 1.32, suggesting a potential edge for the home side.
However, the recent form indicates some unpredictability. Landskrona BoIS has a mixed record with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches, while Varbergs BoIS FC has drawn 4 of their last 6 games. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 62%, meaning the match could easily deviate from the expected outcome.
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC: model vs market
| Source | Landskrona BoIS | Draw | Varbergs BoIS FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Published | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Landskrona BoIS, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Landskrona BoIS | 1.90 | 2.00 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.60 | -0.04 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 3.51 | 3.25 | -0.26 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Landskrona BoIS and Varbergs BoIS FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.11
- Attack rating (Landskrona BoIS / Varbergs BoIS FC)
- 1.36 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Landskrona BoIS / Varbergs BoIS FC)
- 0.99 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Landskrona BoIS goals. Columns: Varbergs BoIS FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Landskrona BoIS | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 | |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Landskrona BoIS or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Varbergs BoIS FC) | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Landskrona BoIS win by 2+ | 27% | 3.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Landskrona BoIS and Varbergs BoIS FC recent form
Landskrona BoIS
4W 0D 2L
Varbergs BoIS FC
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Landskrona BoIS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Varbergs BoIS FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Landskrona BoIS at home only, Varbergs BoIS FC away only.
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Landskrona BoIS 3 · draws 1 · Varbergs BoIS FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 2-3 | Landskrona BoIS | Superettan |
| 2025-10-06 | Landskrona BoIS | 2-1 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| 2025-05-22 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 4-2 | Landskrona BoIS | Superettan |
| 2024-08-26 | Landskrona BoIS | 1-4 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| 2024-07-22 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1-1 | Landskrona BoIS | Superettan |
| 2022-03-22 | Landskrona BoIS | 1-0 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2018-09-18 | Landskrona BoIS | 0-2 | Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| 2018-05-06 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 1-0 | Landskrona BoIS | Superettan |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Oddevold v GIF Sundsvall — match page 2026-10-23
- Ostersunds FK v United Nordic — match page 2026-10-24
- IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken 2026-10-24
- IK brage vs Osters IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Norrby IF v IFK Norrkoping — match page 2026-10-25
- Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Landskrona BoIS, previous: Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS prediction
- Varbergs BoIS FC, previous: Varbergs BoIS FC v Helsingborg analysis