Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping preview
In the Superettan fixture between Norrby IF and IFK Norrkoping, the 1X2 probabilities show IFK Norrkoping at 59% to win, while Norrby IF sits at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 14% chance. Norrby IF's recent form includes 1 win in their last 6 matches, while IFK Norrkoping has won 5 of their last 6.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are each at 42%. Norrby IF has expected goals of 0.71, while IFK Norrkoping's is significantly higher at 1.66. If Norrby IF can improve their scoring, it could challenge the expected outcome. However, IFK Norrkoping's strong form makes them the favorites.
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping: model vs market
| Source | Norrby IF | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18% | 27% | 55% |
| Market | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| Published | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping odds movement
Median bookmaker price on IFK Norrkoping, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norrby IF | 3.74 | 3.45 | -0.29 |
| Draw | 3.82 | 3.75 | -0.07 |
| IFK Norrkoping | 1.80 | 1.91 | +0.11 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Norrby IF and IFK Norrkoping expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Norrby IF / IFK Norrkoping)
- 0.83 / 1.45
- Defence rating (Norrby IF / IFK Norrkoping)
- 0.87 / 0.65
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Norrby IF goals. Columns: IFK Norrkoping goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norrby IF | 25% | 4.05 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | |
| IFK Norrkoping | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.13 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Norrby IF or draw) | 50% | 2.00 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or IFK Norrkoping) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Norrkoping win by 2+ | 30% | 3.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Norrby IF and IFK Norrkoping recent form
Norrby IF
1W 1D 4L
IFK Norrkoping
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Norrby IF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-5-4
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.46
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Norrkoping away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-1-2
- Win rate
- 77%
- Goals for / match
- 1.85
- Goals against / match
- 0.62
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 13
- They have won 18 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Norrby IF at home only, IFK Norrkoping away only.
Norrby IF vs IFK Norrkoping head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Norrby IF 1 · draws 1 · IFK Norrkoping 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | IFK Norrkoping | 0-1 | Norrby IF | Superettan |
| 2026-03-21 | Norrby IF | 1-1 | IFK Norrkoping | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Oddevold v GIF Sundsvall — match page 2026-10-23
- Ostersunds FK v United Nordic — match page 2026-10-24
- IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken 2026-10-24
- IK brage vs Osters IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SK — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF 2026-10-26
- Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC 2026-10-27
Before and after this match
- Norrby IF, previous: United Nordic – Norrby IF, 2026-10-18
- Norrby IF, next: Norrby IF – IFK Varnamo, 2026-10-31
- IFK Norrkoping, previous: IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK: odds and pick
- IFK Norrkoping, next: IFK Norrkoping v Ostersunds FK analysis