Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK preview
In the match between Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK, the 1X2 probabilities show Antalyaspor at 43% to win, while Bodrum FK sits at 28%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, occurring 10% of the time. This suggests a tight match, but the expected goals are close, with Antalyaspor at 1.11 and Bodrum FK at 1.16, indicating potential for a different outcome.
The model indicates a 40% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score. If either team exceeds their expected goals, the match could see more goals than predicted. Antalyaspor's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Bodrum FK has mixed results with 3 wins in their last 6.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK: model vs market
| Source | Antalyaspor | Draw | Bodrum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Published | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Antalyaspor, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | 1.98 | 1.80 | -0.18 |
| Draw | 3.21 | 3.45 | +0.25 |
| Bodrum FK | 3.56 | 4.00 | +0.44 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.26
- Attack rating (Antalyaspor / Bodrum FK)
- 0.98 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Antalyaspor / Bodrum FK)
- 0.98 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Antalyaspor goals. Columns: Bodrum FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | |
| Bodrum FK | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Antalyaspor or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Bodrum FK) | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Handicap -1 | Antalyaspor win by 2+ | 14% | 7.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK recent form
Antalyaspor
4W 0D 2L
Bodrum FK
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Antalyaspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bodrum FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Antalyaspor at home only, Bodrum FK away only.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Antalyaspor 2 · draws 1 · Bodrum FK 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Bodrum FK | 0-0 | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 2025-02-05 | Bodrum FK | 3-1 | Antalyaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| 2024-11-09 | Antalyaspor | 3-2 | Bodrum FK | Süper Lig |
| 2022-07-14 | Antalyaspor | 2-0 | Bodrum FK | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Bandırmaspor v Iğdır FK — match page 2026-10-24
- Muğlaspor v İstanbulspor — match page 2026-10-24
- Sarıyer v Fatih Karagümrük — match page 2026-10-24
- Pendikspor vs Kayserispor 2026-10-25
- Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor 2026-10-25
- Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. — team news & stats 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Antalyaspor, previous: İstanbulspor v Antalyaspor analysis
- Bodrum FK, previous: Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor: odds and pick