Updated

1. Lig · Matchday 12

Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor

· 16 Mayis Sehir Stadyumu, Batman· Referee Oguzhan Aksu

Alin prediction Esenler Erokspor to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Batman PetrolsporDrawEsenler Erokspor
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Esenler Erokspor is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Batman Petrolspor3.03 Draw3.45 Esenler Erokspor2.32

Price as of

Expected return at 2.32: -15.0% per unit staked

Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor preview

In the upcoming match between Batman Petrolspor and Esenler Erokspor, the 1X2 probabilities show Batman Petrolspor at 38% to win, while Esenler Erokspor is at 36%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, which aligns with the expectation of Over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Batman Petrolspor's last five matches resulting in 2 draws and 3 losses, while Esenler Erokspor has 2 wins and 3 draws. This inconsistency could impact the outcome, especially considering Esenler Erokspor's expected goals of 1.21 compared to Batman Petrolspor's 1.87.

Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBatman PetrolsporDrawEsenler Erokspor
Model52%25%23%
Market31%28%41%
Published37%27%37%
Edge+5%-1%-4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -15.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Esenler Erokspor, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 3.12Now 2.22 -0.90
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Batman Petrolspor2.062.90+0.84
Draw3.653.30-0.35
Esenler Erokspor3.122.22-0.90

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Batman Petrolspor and Esenler Erokspor expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.87Batman Petrolspor
1.21Esenler Erokspor
Total expected goals
3.08
Attack rating (Batman Petrolspor / Esenler Erokspor)
1.28 / 0.80
Defence rating (Batman Petrolspor / Esenler Erokspor)
1.21 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.6% 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 1 7.6% 11.4% 6.3% 2.5% 1.0% 2 8.1% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.9% 3 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.6% 4+ 3.6% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%

Rows: Batman Petrolspor goals. Columns: Esenler Erokspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 59%
Over 3.5 37%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Batman Petrolspor37%2.74
Draw27%3.72
Esenler Erokspor37%2.73
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559%1.68
Under 2.541%2.47
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.66
No40%2.52
Double chance1X (Batman Petrolspor or draw)63%1.58
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Esenler Erokspor)63%1.58
Handicap -1Esenler Erokspor win by 2+10%10.18
Push (exactly one goal)14%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Batman Petrolspor and Esenler Erokspor recent form

Batman Petrolspor 2W 1D 3L
Esenler Erokspor 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Batman Petrolspor at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Win rate
80%
Goals for / match
2.60
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Esenler Erokspor away

Record (W-D-L)
1-5-0
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
0.83
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
3 of 6
  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Batman Petrolspor at home only, Esenler Erokspor away only.

Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Batman Petrolspor 1 · draws 3 · Esenler Erokspor 0.

Batman PetrolsporDrawsEsenler Erokspor
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2023-03-25Esenler Erokspor2-2Batman Petrolspor2. Lig
2022-10-09Batman Petrolspor1-1Esenler Erokspor2. Lig
2021-02-11Batman Petrolspor0-0Esenler Erokspor3. Lig - Group 3
2020-10-04Esenler Erokspor0-1Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 3

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Esenler Erokspor to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Esenler Erokspor