Pendikspor vs Kayserispor preview
In the upcoming match between Pendikspor and Kayserispor, the 1X2 probabilities show Kayserispor at 63%, compared to Pendikspor's 15%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with Kayserispor's expected goals of 2.05 against Pendikspor's 0.90.
However, the match could deviate from this forecast. Pendikspor has a recent form of L-L-D-D-W-L, while Kayserispor is on a strong run with D-W-W-W-W-W. While the model suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 53%, unexpected performances or tactical changes could alter the outcome.
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor: model vs market
| Source | Pendikspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13% | 22% | 66% |
| Market | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Published | 20% | 24% | 56% |
| Edge | -2% | -1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kayserispor below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kayserispor, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor | 4.12 | 4.10 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.65 | -0.10 |
| Kayserispor | 1.74 | 1.74 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pendikspor and Kayserispor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Pendikspor / Kayserispor)
- 0.75 / 1.41
- Defence rating (Pendikspor / Kayserispor)
- 1.19 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pendikspor goals. Columns: Kayserispor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pendikspor vs Kayserispor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pendikspor | 20% | 5.02 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Kayserispor | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pendikspor or draw) | 44% | 2.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Kayserispor) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kayserispor win by 2+ | 42% | 2.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Pendikspor and Kayserispor recent form
Pendikspor
1W 2D 3L
Kayserispor
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pendikspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Kayserispor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.17
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pendikspor at home only, Kayserispor away only.
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Pendikspor 1 · draws 0 · Kayserispor 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Kayserispor | 1-2 | Pendikspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-04-28 | Pendikspor | 1-2 | Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
| 2023-12-10 | Kayserispor | 2-0 | Pendikspor | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor 2026-10-24
- Bandırmaspor v Iğdır FK — match page 2026-10-24
- Muğlaspor v İstanbulspor — match page 2026-10-24
- Sarıyer v Fatih Karagümrük — match page 2026-10-24
- Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor 2026-10-25
- Antalyaspor v Bodrum FK — match page 2026-10-25
- Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. — team news & stats 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Pendikspor, previous: Bursaspor – Pendikspor, 2026-10-19
- Pendikspor, next: Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor prediction
- Kayserispor, previous: Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor: odds and pick