Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Beşiktaş and Başakşehir, the 1X2 probabilities show Beşiktaş at 63%, while Başakşehir is at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance. Beşiktaş has a strong expected goals figure of 2.33 compared to Başakşehir's 1.14, indicating a potential for Over 2.5 goals, which our model predicts at 67%.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Beşiktaş has won 6 of their last 7 matches, while Başakşehir has only 2 wins in their last 5 games. Additionally, in their last 2 head-to-head encounters, Beşiktaş has won both. This could challenge the predictions if Başakşehir finds a way to perform better than expected.
Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir: model vs market
| Source | Beşiktaş | Draw | Başakşehir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 20% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 63% | 20% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Beşiktaş and Başakşehir expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.47
- Attack rating (Beşiktaş / Başakşehir)
- 1.55 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Beşiktaş / Başakşehir)
- 0.85 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Beşiktaş goals. Columns: Başakşehir goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.90 | |
| Başakşehir | 16% | 6.09 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Beşiktaş or draw) | 84% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Başakşehir) | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win by 2+ | 42% | 2.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Beşiktaş and Başakşehir recent form
Beşiktaş
5W 0D 1L
Başakşehir
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Beşiktaş at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Başakşehir away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Beşiktaş at home only, Başakşehir away only.
Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Beşiktaş 2 · draws 0 · Başakşehir 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Başakşehir | 2-3 | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| 2025-09-13 | Beşiktaş | 2-1 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Göztepe v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-25
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Beşiktaş, previous: Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace, 2026-10-22
- Beşiktaş, next: Celtic vs Beşiktaş: odds and pick
- Başakşehir, previous: Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK, 2026-10-18