Göztepe vs Çorum FK preview
In the Süper Lig match between Göztepe and Çorum FK, the 1X2 probabilities show Göztepe at 41% and Çorum FK at 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which occurs 7% of the time. The high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams to score at 74% suggests an attacking game.
However, Göztepe's expected goals stand at 1.79, while Çorum FK's is higher at 2.15. This indicates that Çorum FK may create more scoring opportunities. Göztepe's recent form shows two wins but also three games without a win, which could affect their performance.
Göztepe vs Çorum FK: model vs market
| Source | Göztepe | Draw | Çorum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Published | 41% | 25% | 35% |
| Edge | -11% | -4% | +15% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Göztepe vs Çorum FK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Göztepe, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Göztepe | 2.15 | 2.15 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.62 | +0.00 |
| Çorum FK | 3.04 | 3.04 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Göztepe and Çorum FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.94
- Attack rating (Göztepe / Çorum FK)
- 1.34 / 1.43
- Defence rating (Göztepe / Çorum FK)
- 1.24 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Göztepe vs Çorum FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Göztepe goals. Columns: Çorum FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Göztepe vs Çorum FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Göztepe vs Çorum FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Göztepe | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Çorum FK | 35% | 2.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.34 |
| No | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Göztepe or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Çorum FK) | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Göztepe win by 2+ | 17% | 6.01 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Göztepe and Çorum FK recent form
Göztepe
2W 2D 2L
Çorum FK
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Göztepe at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Çorum FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Göztepe at home only, Çorum FK away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gaziantep FK v Erzurumspor FK — match page 2026-10-24
- Samsunspor vs Amed 2026-10-24
- Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Beşiktaş v Başakşehir — match page 2026-10-26
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Göztepe, previous: Kocaelispor – Göztepe, 2026-10-18
- Çorum FK, previous: Çorum FK vs Rizespor prediction