Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K., the 1X2 probabilities show Konyaspor at 45%, while Gençlerbirliği S.K. sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% chance according to our model. Konyaspor's expected goals are 1.27, compared to Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s 0.86, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, Konyaspor's recent form includes two losses and only one win in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. Gençlerbirliği S.K. has struggled as well, with four losses and only one draw in their last five games. The chances of Over 2.5 goals stand at 36%, and both teams to score is at 43%, suggesting a tight contest.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: model vs market
| Source | Konyaspor | Draw | Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 23% |
| Published | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Edge | -6% | +5% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Konyaspor, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | 1.83 | 1.85 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.52 | +0.00 |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4.20 | 4.10 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.12
- Attack rating (Konyaspor / Gençlerbirliği S.K.)
- 0.66 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Konyaspor / Gençlerbirliği S.K.)
- 0.90 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Konyaspor goals. Columns: Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 23% | 4.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Konyaspor or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Gençlerbirliği S.K.) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Konyaspor win by 2+ | 21% | 4.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği S.K. recent form
Konyaspor
1W 2D 3L
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Konyaspor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Konyaspor at home only, Gençlerbirliği S.K. away only.
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Konyaspor 2 · draws 0 · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Konyaspor | 1-0 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| 2025-10-26 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1-2 | Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gaziantep FK v Erzurumspor FK — match page 2026-10-24
- Samsunspor vs Amed 2026-10-24
- Göztepe v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-25
- Beşiktaş v Başakşehir — match page 2026-10-26
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Konyaspor, previous: Amed vs Konyaspor: odds and pick
- Gençlerbirliği S.K., previous: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray: odds and pick