Rizespor vs Trabzonspor preview
In the Süper Lig fixture between Rizespor and Trabzonspor, the 1X2 probabilities show Trabzonspor at 54%, while Rizespor stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each have a 64% probability, indicating a strong likelihood of an open game.
Rizespor's recent form is L-L-D-W-L-W, while Trabzonspor has a mixed record of W-W-W-L-W-L. Rizespor has not won any of the last 2 head-to-head matches against Trabzonspor, who have 2 wins. These factors could influence the outcome, particularly if Rizespor improves their form or if Trabzonspor's inconsistency continues.
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor: model vs market
| Source | Rizespor | Draw | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Rizespor and Trabzonspor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.31
- Attack rating (Rizespor / Trabzonspor)
- 0.92 / 1.41
- Defence rating (Rizespor / Trabzonspor)
- 1.19 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rizespor goals. Columns: Trabzonspor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rizespor | 23% | 4.37 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 | |
| Trabzonspor | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rizespor or draw) | 46% | 2.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Trabzonspor) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win by 2+ | 32% | 3.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Rizespor and Trabzonspor recent form
Rizespor
2W 1D 3L
Trabzonspor
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rizespor at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trabzonspor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rizespor at home only, Trabzonspor away only.
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Rizespor 0 · draws 0 · Trabzonspor 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Trabzonspor | 1-0 | Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| 2025-10-18 | Rizespor | 1-2 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Göztepe v Çorum FK — match page 2026-10-25
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Before and after this match
- Rizespor, previous: Çorum FK vs Rizespor prediction
- Trabzonspor, previous: Trabzonspor v Heart Of Midlothian analysis
- Trabzonspor, next: Trabzonspor – Freiburg, 2026-11-05