Blacks Power vs NEC preview
In the match between Blacks Power and NEC, the 1X2 probabilities show NEC at 42%, while Blacks Power is at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, which aligns with NEC's expected goals of 1.41 compared to Blacks Power's 1.13.
Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net. However, the recent form could affect the outcome, as Blacks Power has a mixed record of W-L-L-L-W-W, while NEC has been more consistent with L-W-D-W-D-W. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected results.
Blacks Power vs NEC: model vs market
| Source | Blacks Power | Draw | NEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Blacks Power and NEC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.55
- Attack rating (Blacks Power / NEC)
- 1.17 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Blacks Power / NEC)
- 1.39 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Blacks Power vs NEC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Blacks Power goals. Columns: NEC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Blacks Power vs NEC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Blacks Power vs NEC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blacks Power | 29% | 3.45 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| NEC | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Blacks Power or draw) | 58% | 1.73 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or NEC) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | NEC win by 2+ | 21% | 4.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Blacks Power and NEC recent form
Blacks Power
3W 0D 3L
NEC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Blacks Power at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
NEC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Blacks Power at home only, NEC away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kataka vs Police — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- BUL vs Entebbe UPPC 2026-10-31
- Maroons v Kigezi HomeBoyz — match page 2026-10-31
- Mbarara City vs KCCA — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Lugazi vs SC Villa 2026-10-31
- UPDF v Kitara — match page 2026-10-31
- URA vs Vipers — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Blacks Power, previous: SC Villa vs Blacks Power: odds and pick
- NEC, previous: NEC v Ntugasaze analysis