BUL vs Entebbe UPPC preview
In the Uganda Premier League fixture between BUL and Entebbe UPPC, the 1X2 probabilities show BUL at 33%, a draw at 36%, and Entebbe UPPC at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 19% chance, indicating a low-scoring match.
BUL's recent form includes 5 wins and 1 draw, while Entebbe UPPC has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The expected goals are close, with BUL at 0.88 and Entebbe UPPC at 0.84. With only 25% for Over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, a high-scoring game seems unlikely, but any defensive errors could change that outcome.
BUL vs Entebbe UPPC: model vs market
| Source | BUL | Draw | Entebbe UPPC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
BUL and Entebbe UPPC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.72
- Attack rating (BUL / Entebbe UPPC)
- 1.37 / 1.08
- Defence rating (BUL / Entebbe UPPC)
- 0.89 / 0.52
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
BUL vs Entebbe UPPC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: BUL goals. Columns: Entebbe UPPC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
BUL vs Entebbe UPPC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for BUL vs Entebbe UPPC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BUL | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.74 | |
| Entebbe UPPC | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 4.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.89 |
| No | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Double chance | 1X (BUL or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| X2 (draw or Entebbe UPPC) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | BUL win by 2+ | 12% | 8.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
BUL and Entebbe UPPC recent form
BUL
5W 1D 0L
Entebbe UPPC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
BUL at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Entebbe UPPC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: BUL at home only, Entebbe UPPC away only.
BUL vs Entebbe UPPC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: BUL 0 · draws 0 · Entebbe UPPC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Entebbe UPPC | 4-0 | BUL | Uganda Premier League |
| 2025-11-27 | BUL | 0-2 | Entebbe UPPC | Uganda Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Blacks Power v NEC — match page 2026-10-31
- Maroons v Kigezi HomeBoyz — match page 2026-10-31
- Mbarara City vs KCCA — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Lugazi vs SC Villa 2026-10-31
- UPDF v Kitara — match page 2026-10-31
- URA vs Vipers — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Ntugasaze vs Express 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- BUL, previous: Kitara – BUL, 2026-10-28
- Entebbe UPPC, previous: Entebbe UPPC v Maroons analysis