URA vs Vipers preview
In the Uganda Premier League fixture between URA and Vipers, the 1X2 probabilities show Vipers at 63% to win, compared to URA's 11%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 18% chance. Vipers have been in better form, with 3 wins and 3 draws in their last 6 matches, while URA has lost 4 of their last 5 games.
The expected goals for URA is 0.53, while Vipers has a significantly higher 1.63. The model suggests a 37% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance for both teams to score. However, URA's recent struggles could lead to an unexpected outcome, making the match less predictable.
URA vs Vipers: model vs market
| Source | URA | Draw | Vipers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11% | 26% | 63% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 11% | 26% | 63% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
URA and Vipers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.16
- Attack rating (URA / Vipers)
- 0.93 / 1.56
- Defence rating (URA / Vipers)
- 1.20 / 0.47
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
URA vs Vipers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: URA goals. Columns: Vipers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
URA vs Vipers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for URA vs Vipers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | URA | 11% | 9.23 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Vipers | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.92 |
| No | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (URA or draw) | 37% | 2.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Vipers) | 89% | 1.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win by 2+ | 36% | 2.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
URA and Vipers recent form
URA
1W 1D 4L
Vipers
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
URA at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Vipers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: URA at home only, Vipers away only.
URA vs Vipers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: URA 0 · draws 1 · Vipers 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Vipers | 1-1 | URA | Uganda Premier League |
| 2026-01-24 | URA | 0-3 | Vipers | Uganda Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kataka vs Police — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Blacks Power v NEC — match page 2026-10-31
- BUL vs Entebbe UPPC 2026-10-31
- Maroons v Kigezi HomeBoyz — match page 2026-10-31
- Mbarara City vs KCCA — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Lugazi vs SC Villa 2026-10-31
- UPDF v Kitara — match page 2026-10-31
- Ntugasaze vs Express 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- URA, previous: UPDF – URA, 2026-10-27
- Vipers, previous: Mbarara City vs Vipers prediction