Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons preview
In the Uganda Premier League fixture, Entebbe UPPC has a 55% chance to win against Maroons, who have a 16% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% probability. Entebbe UPPC has an expected goals figure of 1.50, compared to Maroons' 0.69, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, both teams to score stands at only 40%, and the possibility of Over 2.5 goals is at 38%. Recent form shows Entebbe UPPC with a mix of results, including two wins, while Maroons have also shown some inconsistency. The head-to-head record reveals no wins for either side in their last two encounters, both ending in draws.
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons: model vs market
| Source | Entebbe UPPC | Draw | Maroons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 29% | 15% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 29% | 15% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.63.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Entebbe UPPC and Maroons expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.11
- Attack rating (Entebbe UPPC / Maroons)
- 1.08 / 1.40
- Defence rating (Entebbe UPPC / Maroons)
- 0.52 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Entebbe UPPC goals. Columns: Maroons goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Entebbe UPPC | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Maroons | 15% | 6.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.68 |
| No | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Entebbe UPPC or draw) | 85% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Maroons) | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Entebbe UPPC win by 2+ | 30% | 3.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Entebbe UPPC and Maroons recent form
Entebbe UPPC
3W 2D 1L
Maroons
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Entebbe UPPC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Maroons away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Entebbe UPPC at home only, Maroons away only.
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Entebbe UPPC 0 · draws 2 · Maroons 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Maroons | 0-0 | Entebbe UPPC | Uganda Premier League |
| 2026-01-27 | Entebbe UPPC | 0-0 | Maroons | Uganda Premier League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- SC Villa v Blacks Power — match page 2026-10-27
- Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- UPDF vs URA 2026-10-27
- NEC v Ntugasaze — match page 2026-10-27
- Express vs Kataka — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- Mbarara City vs Vipers 2026-10-28
- Kitara v BUL — match page 2026-10-28
- KCCA vs Lugazi 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Entebbe UPPC, previous: Kigezi HomeBoyz – Entebbe UPPC, 2026-10-22
- Maroons, previous: Maroons v Kataka analysis