SC Villa vs Blacks Power preview
In the Uganda Premier League fixture between SC Villa and Blacks Power, the 1X2 probabilities show SC Villa at 86%, with a most likely scoreline of 3-0 (13%). SC Villa has an expected goals figure of 3.11, while Blacks Power sits at just 0.57. This suggests a strong advantage for SC Villa.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. While SC Villa's recent form is solid with W-D-W-W-W-D, Blacks Power has struggled, recording three losses in their last four matches. If Blacks Power manages to improve their scoring, it could affect the likelihood of both teams to score, currently at 42%.
SC Villa vs Blacks Power: model vs market
| Source | SC Villa | Draw | Blacks Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 87% | 10% | 3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 87% | 10% | 3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.11 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
SC Villa and Blacks Power expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.65
- Attack rating (SC Villa / Blacks Power)
- 1.90 / 0.96
- Defence rating (SC Villa / Blacks Power)
- 0.65 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SC Villa vs Blacks Power score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SC Villa goals. Columns: Blacks Power goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SC Villa vs Blacks Power goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SC Villa vs Blacks Power
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Villa | 87% | 1.15 |
| Draw | 10% | 9.99 | |
| Blacks Power | 3% | 30.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.49 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SC Villa or draw) | 97% | 1.03 |
| 12 (either side) | 90% | 1.11 | |
| X2 (draw or Blacks Power) | 13% | 7.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Villa win by 2+ | 70% | 1.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SC Villa and Blacks Power recent form
SC Villa
5W 1D 0L
Blacks Power
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SC Villa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Blacks Power away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: SC Villa at home only, Blacks Power away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- UPDF vs URA 2026-10-27
- NEC v Ntugasaze — match page 2026-10-27
- Express vs Kataka — team news & stats 2026-10-27
- Mbarara City vs Vipers 2026-10-28
- Kitara v BUL — match page 2026-10-28
- Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- KCCA vs Lugazi 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- SC Villa, previous: SC Villa vs Mbarara City prediction
- Blacks Power, previous: Blacks Power vs URA: odds and pick