URA vs Entebbe UPPC Prediction & Betting Tips 15/10/2026

URA vs Entebbe UPPC preview

The fixture between URA and Entebbe UPPC shows a 30% chance for URA to win, while both teams have a 35% probability of a draw or an Entebbe UPPC victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 14% chance according to our model. Both teams to score has a 37% probability, while Over 2.5 goals stands at just 28%.

URA's recent form includes 2 losses, 1 win, and 3 draws, while Entebbe UPPC has 2 wins, 1 loss, and 3 draws in their last six matches. This could affect the outcome, as URA has not won in their last two games. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.

URA vs Entebbe UPPC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	URA	Draw	Entebbe UPPC
Model	22%	33%	44%
Market	—	—	—
Published	22%	33%	44%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.75.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

URA and Entebbe UPPC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.75URA

1.16Entebbe UPPC

Total expected goals: 1.91
Attack rating (URA / Entebbe UPPC): 0.92 / 1.20
Defence rating (URA / Entebbe UPPC): 1.17 / 0.65

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

URA vs Entebbe UPPC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 16.1% 15.9% 10.0% 3.9% 1.4% 1 9.8% 14.2% 7.5% 2.9% 1.1% 2 4.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 3 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: URA goals. Columns: Entebbe UPPC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

URA vs Entebbe UPPC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 84%

Over 1.5 58%

Over 2.5 30%

Over 3.5 13%

Both teams to score: 37%
No goals (0–0): 16%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for URA vs Entebbe UPPC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	URA	22%	4.45
	Draw	33%	3.00
	Entebbe UPPC	44%	2.26
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	30%	3.35
	Under 2.5	70%	1.42
Both teams to score	Yes	37%	2.67
	No	63%	1.60
Double chance	1X (URA or draw)	56%	1.79
	12 (either side)	67%	1.50
	X2 (draw or Entebbe UPPC)	78%	1.29
Handicap -1	Entebbe UPPC win by 2+	20%	5.09
	Push (exactly one goal)	25%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer