Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR preview
In the upcoming match between Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR, the 1X2 probabilities show Bukovyna at 44%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). The model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 66%. Bukovyna's expected goals stand at 1.81, while Kryvbas KR's is 1.49.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Bukovyna has recorded L-D-L-D-D-W, while Kryvbas KR has L-D-L-D-W-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty. If either team fails to convert their chances or if defensive errors occur, the predictions may not hold.
Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR: model vs market
| Source | Bukovyna | Draw | Kryvbas KR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 22% |
| Published | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Edge | -3% | -1% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.37.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bukovyna, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bukovyna | 1.78 | 1.77 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.62 | +0.02 |
| Kryvbas KR | 4.12 | 4.11 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.28
- Attack rating (Bukovyna / Kryvbas KR)
- 1.08 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Bukovyna / Kryvbas KR)
- 1.05 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bukovyna goals. Columns: Kryvbas KR goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bukovyna | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Kryvbas KR | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bukovyna or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Kryvbas KR) | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bukovyna win by 2+ | 28% | 3.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR recent form
Bukovyna
1W 3D 2L
Kryvbas KR
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bukovyna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-0
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kryvbas KR away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bukovyna at home only, Kryvbas KR away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk — match page 2026-10-24
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chornomorets vs Karpaty 2026-10-24
- Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka 2026-10-24
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv — match page 2026-10-24
- Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Bukovyna, previous: Kudrivka vs Bukovyna: odds and pick
- Kryvbas KR, previous: Kryvbas KR – LNZ Cherkasy, 2026-10-18