Updated

Ukraine Premier League · Matchday 10

Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka

· Avangard, Rivne

Alin prediction Kolos Kovalivka to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Veres RivneDrawKolos Kovalivka
Best market odds
Veres Rivne3.40 Draw3.15 Kolos Kovalivka2.14

Price as of

Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka preview

In the fixture between Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka, the 1X2 probabilities show Kolos Kovalivka at 44% to win, while Veres Rivne sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 14% chance. Veres Rivne has struggled recently, with a record of L-L-W-D-D-W, while Kolos Kovalivka's recent form is W-W-L-D-D-L.

The expected goals indicate Veres Rivne at 0.83 and Kolos Kovalivka at 1.44, suggesting a potential advantage for the visitors. However, the 40% chance of Over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score could challenge the predicted outcome if both teams find the net.

Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVeres RivneDrawKolos Kovalivka
Model22%30%48%
Market27%30%43%
Published26%30%44%
Edge-5%0%+5%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.88.
  • The market prices Kolos Kovalivka below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.

Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Kolos Kovalivka, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-17.

Opened 2.18Now 2.14 -0.04
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Veres Rivne3.293.39+0.10
Draw3.103.12+0.02
Kolos Kovalivka2.182.14-0.04

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.88Veres Rivne
1.41Kolos Kovalivka
Total expected goals
2.29
Attack rating (Veres Rivne / Kolos Kovalivka)
0.63 / 1.04
Defence rating (Veres Rivne / Kolos Kovalivka)
1.11 / 1.05

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.4% 13.1% 10.1% 4.7% 2.3% 1 7.7% 13.8% 8.8% 4.1% 2.0% 2 3.9% 5.5% 3.9% 1.8% 0.9% 3 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 4+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Veres Rivne goals. Columns: Kolos Kovalivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 40%
Over 3.5 20%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Veres Rivne26%3.85
Draw30%3.38
Kolos Kovalivka44%2.25
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540%2.50
Under 2.560%1.67
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.20
No55%1.83
Double chance1X (Veres Rivne or draw)56%1.80
12 (either side)70%1.42
X2 (draw or Kolos Kovalivka)74%1.35
Handicap -1Kolos Kovalivka win by 2+24%4.14
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka recent form

Veres Rivne 2W 2D 2L
Kolos Kovalivka 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Veres Rivne at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Kolos Kovalivka away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Veres Rivne at home only, Kolos Kovalivka away only.

Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Veres Rivne 0 · draws 1 · Kolos Kovalivka 1.

Veres RivneDrawsKolos Kovalivka
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-22Veres Rivne0-1Kolos KovalivkaUkraine Premier League
2025-09-20Kolos Kovalivka0-0Veres RivneUkraine Premier League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Kolos Kovalivka to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Kolos Kovalivka