Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka preview
In the fixture between Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka, the 1X2 probabilities show Kolos Kovalivka at 44% to win, while Veres Rivne sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 14% chance. Veres Rivne has struggled recently, with a record of L-L-W-D-D-W, while Kolos Kovalivka's recent form is W-W-L-D-D-L.
The expected goals indicate Veres Rivne at 0.83 and Kolos Kovalivka at 1.44, suggesting a potential advantage for the visitors. However, the 40% chance of Over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score could challenge the predicted outcome if both teams find the net.
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka: model vs market
| Source | Veres Rivne | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 30% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 30% | 43% |
| Published | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Edge | -5% | 0% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.88.
- The market prices Kolos Kovalivka below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kolos Kovalivka, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Veres Rivne | 3.29 | 3.39 | +0.10 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.12 | +0.02 |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 2.18 | 2.14 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.29
- Attack rating (Veres Rivne / Kolos Kovalivka)
- 0.63 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Veres Rivne / Kolos Kovalivka)
- 1.11 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Veres Rivne goals. Columns: Kolos Kovalivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Veres Rivne | 26% | 3.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.20 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Veres Rivne or draw) | 56% | 1.80 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Kolos Kovalivka) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolos Kovalivka win by 2+ | 24% | 4.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Veres Rivne at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Kolos Kovalivka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Veres Rivne at home only, Kolos Kovalivka away only.
Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Veres Rivne 0 · draws 1 · Kolos Kovalivka 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Veres Rivne | 0-1 | Kolos Kovalivka | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-09-20 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-0 | Veres Rivne | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk — match page 2026-10-24
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chornomorets vs Karpaty 2026-10-24
- Bukovyna v Kryvbas KR — match page 2026-10-24
- Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv — match page 2026-10-24
- Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Veres Rivne, previous: Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne prediction
- Kolos Kovalivka, previous: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka prediction