Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar preview
Polessya faces Obolon'-Brovar with a 68% chance of winning, while Obolon'-Brovar has just an 11% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with Polessya expected to score 2.08 goals compared to Obolon'-Brovar's 0.74. The data suggests a strong performance from Polessya, who has won their last four matches.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. While Over 2.5 goals has a 53% likelihood and both teams to score sits at 47%, any unexpected turn in form could affect these outcomes. Obolon'-Brovar's recent record shows they are capable of surprises, having drawn three of their last six matches.
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar: model vs market
| Source | Polessya | Draw | Obolon'-Brovar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70% | 20% | 10% |
| Market | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| Published | 74% | 18% | 8% |
| Edge | -5% | +3% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.23, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Polessya, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.40 | 5.40 | +0.00 |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 12.00 | 12.00 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Polessya and Obolon'-Brovar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Polessya / Obolon'-Brovar)
- 1.49 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Polessya / Obolon'-Brovar)
- 0.86 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Polessya goals. Columns: Obolon'-Brovar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polessya | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.62 | |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 8% | 11.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.09 |
| No | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Polessya or draw) | 92% | 1.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Obolon'-Brovar) | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Polessya win by 2+ | 47% | 2.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Polessya and Obolon'-Brovar recent form
Polessya
5W 1D 0L
Obolon'-Brovar
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Polessya at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Obolon'-Brovar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Polessya at home only, Obolon'-Brovar away only.
Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Polessya 2 · draws 0 · Obolon'-Brovar 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Polessya | 3-1 | Obolon'-Brovar | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-10-25 | Obolon'-Brovar | 0-4 | Polessya | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk — match page 2026-10-24
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chornomorets vs Karpaty 2026-10-24
- Bukovyna v Kryvbas KR — match page 2026-10-24
- Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka 2026-10-24
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv — match page 2026-10-24
- Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Polessya, previous: Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv analysis
- Obolon'-Brovar, previous: Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne prediction