Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy preview
In the fixture between Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy, the 1X2 probabilities show LNZ Cherkasy at 44%, while Livyi Bereh sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with a 14% chance. This suggests that LNZ Cherkasy could edge the match, but Livyi Bereh's recent form includes a mix of results, which could lead to an unexpected outcome.
The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is only 23%, and both teams to score stands at 33%. Expected goals are close, with Livyi Bereh at 0.87 and LNZ Cherkasy at 0.79, indicating a potentially tight match. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the predictions.
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy: model vs market
| Source | Livyi Bereh | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 36% | 33% |
| Market | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Published | 26% | 29% | 45% |
| Edge | +7% | +9% | -16% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.88, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy odds movement
Median bookmaker price on LNZ Cherkasy, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh | 3.88 | 3.89 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.42 | +0.02 |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 1.88 | 1.88 | -0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.76
- Attack rating (Livyi Bereh / LNZ Cherkasy)
- 0.90 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Livyi Bereh / LNZ Cherkasy)
- 0.81 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Livyi Bereh goals. Columns: LNZ Cherkasy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 36%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livyi Bereh | 26% | 3.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 | |
| LNZ Cherkasy | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36% | 2.81 |
| No | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Livyi Bereh or draw) | 55% | 1.83 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or LNZ Cherkasy) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | LNZ Cherkasy win by 2+ | 12% | 8.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Livyi Bereh and LNZ Cherkasy recent form
Livyi Bereh
1W 2D 3L
LNZ Cherkasy
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Livyi Bereh at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
LNZ Cherkasy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Livyi Bereh at home only, LNZ Cherkasy away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk — match page 2026-10-24
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chornomorets vs Karpaty 2026-10-24
- Bukovyna v Kryvbas KR — match page 2026-10-24
- Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka 2026-10-24
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Livyi Bereh, previous: FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh: odds and pick
- LNZ Cherkasy, previous: Kryvbas KR – LNZ Cherkasy, 2026-10-18