Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv preview
In the match between Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Kharkiv at 57% to win, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, which aligns with FC Kharkiv's expected goals of 1.87 compared to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's 0.79.
While the model suggests a 50% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 47% probability for both teams to score, factors like Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's recent form of D-L-L-L-D-W may impact the outcome. Additionally, FC Kharkiv's recent performance includes four wins and two losses, indicating potential volatility.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv: model vs market
| Source | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Draw | FC Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 24% | 60% |
| Market | 19% | 25% | 55% |
| Published | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Edge | -4% | -1% | +5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Kharkiv below the model: +4.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Kharkiv, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 4.71 | 4.75 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.67 | +0.02 |
| FC Kharkiv | 1.67 | 1.67 | -0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.67
- Attack rating (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi / FC Kharkiv)
- 0.90 / 1.32
- Defence rating (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi / FC Kharkiv)
- 1.14 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi goals. Columns: FC Kharkiv goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 18% | 5.42 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| FC Kharkiv | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| No | 51% | 1.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw) | 43% | 2.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Kharkiv) | 82% | 1.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Kharkiv win by 2+ | 36% | 2.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and FC Kharkiv recent form
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1W 2D 3L
FC Kharkiv
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
FC Kharkiv away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at home only, FC Kharkiv away only.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC Kharkiv head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0 · draws 2 · FC Kharkiv 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | FC Kharkiv | 1-1 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-11-30 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0-0 | FC Kharkiv | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk — match page 2026-10-24
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Chornomorets vs Karpaty 2026-10-24
- Bukovyna v Kryvbas KR — match page 2026-10-24
- Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka 2026-10-24
- Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, previous: Karpaty v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi analysis
- FC Kharkiv, previous: FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh: odds and pick