Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka preview
Dynamo Kyiv faces Kudrivka with a 69% probability of winning, while Kudrivka has just a 13% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, indicating a competitive match, though Dynamo Kyiv's expected goals stand at 1.79 compared to Kudrivka's 1.13. This suggests that while Dynamo Kyiv is favored, Kudrivka could still find the net.
The match could deviate from expectations if Kudrivka improves on their recent form, which shows 6 losses in their last 7 matches. With a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability for both teams to score, the dynamics could shift if Kudrivka manages to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Dynamo Kyiv.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka: model vs market
| Source | Dynamo Kyiv | Draw | Kudrivka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| Published | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| Edge | -23% | +10% | +13% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.23, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dynamo Kyiv, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.14 | 1.23 | +0.09 |
| Draw | 7.40 | 6.10 | -1.30 |
| Kudrivka | 13.00 | 9.55 | -3.45 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dynamo Kyiv and Kudrivka expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Dynamo Kyiv / Kudrivka)
- 0.94 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Dynamo Kyiv / Kudrivka)
- 0.90 / 1.44
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dynamo Kyiv goals. Columns: Kudrivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 69% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.65 | |
| Kudrivka | 13% | 7.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| No | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dynamo Kyiv or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Kudrivka) | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dynamo Kyiv win by 2+ | 30% | 3.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Dynamo Kyiv and Kudrivka recent form
Dynamo Kyiv
3W 1D 2L
Kudrivka
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dynamo Kyiv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kudrivka away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dynamo Kyiv at home only, Kudrivka away only.
Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Dynamo Kyiv 2 · draws 0 · Kudrivka 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Dynamo Kyiv | 3-2 | Kudrivka | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-12-06 | Kudrivka | 1-2 | Dynamo Kyiv | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya Luhansk — match page 2026-10-24
- Chornomorets vs Karpaty 2026-10-24
- Bukovyna v Kryvbas KR — match page 2026-10-24
- Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka 2026-10-24
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi v FC Kharkiv — match page 2026-10-24
- Livyi Bereh vs LNZ Cherkasy — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Dynamo Kyiv, previous: Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv analysis
- Kudrivka, previous: Kudrivka vs Bukovyna: odds and pick