Albion FC vs Atletico Torque preview
Albion FC faces Atletico Torque with a 24% chance of winning for Albion and a 50% chance for Atletico Torque. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% probability. Both teams to score stands at 58%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance according to our model.
Recent form shows Albion FC with 2 wins and 4 losses, while Atletico Torque has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. The expected goals are 1.21 for Albion FC and 1.70 for Atletico Torque. A draw is also possible with a 26% probability, which could change the outcome of the match.
Albion FC vs Atletico Torque: model vs market
| Source | Albion FC | Draw | Atletico Torque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Published | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Edge | -2% | -2% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.21.
- The market prices Atletico Torque below the model: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Albion FC vs Atletico Torque odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Atletico Torque, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albion FC | 3.90 | 3.21 | -0.69 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.26 | -0.24 |
| Atletico Torque | 1.80 | 2.07 | +0.27 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Albion FC and Atletico Torque expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Albion FC / Atletico Torque)
- 0.97 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Albion FC / Atletico Torque)
- 1.32 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Albion FC vs Atletico Torque score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Albion FC goals. Columns: Atletico Torque goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Albion FC vs Atletico Torque goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Albion FC vs Atletico Torque
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albion FC | 28% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Atletico Torque | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Albion FC or draw) | 55% | 1.81 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Atletico Torque) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Torque win by 2+ | 26% | 3.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Albion FC and Atletico Torque recent form
Albion FC
2W 0D 4L
Atletico Torque
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Albion FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-8
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Torque away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-4-3
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Albion FC at home only, Atletico Torque away only.
Albion FC vs Atletico Torque head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Albion FC 1 · draws 0 · Atletico Torque 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Albion FC | 1-2 | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2026-04-11 | Atletico Torque | 0-1 | Albion FC | Uruguay Primera División |
Other Clausura - 11 fixtures
- Cerro v Cerro Largo — match page 2026-10-16
- Progreso vs Juventud — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers 2026-10-17
- Boston River v Defensor Sporting — match page 2026-10-17
- Danubio vs Central Espanol 2026-10-18
- Liverpool Montevideo v Penarol — match page 2026-10-18
- Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado — team news & stats 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Albion FC, previous: Cerro Largo vs Albion FC prediction
- Atletico Torque, previous: Atletico-MG v Atletico Torque analysis
- Atletico Torque, next: Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG: odds and pick