Central Espanol vs Albion FC preview
In the match between Central Espanol and Albion FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Albion FC at 44%, while Central Espanol sits at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance. Central Espanol's recent form includes four losses and two draws, while Albion FC has two wins and four losses in their last six matches.
The expected goals indicate Central Espanol at 0.90 and Albion FC at 1.28. There is a 37% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance for both teams to score. These figures suggest that while Albion FC is favored to win, Central Espanol could potentially disrupt this outcome if they improve their performance.
Central Espanol vs Albion FC: model vs market
| Source | Central Espanol | Draw | Albion FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 31% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 37% |
| Published | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Albion FC below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.61, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Central Espanol vs Albion FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Albion FC, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 2.56 | 2.73 | +0.17 |
| Draw | 3.02 | 3.10 | +0.08 |
| Albion FC | 2.65 | 2.49 | -0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Central Espanol and Albion FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.13
- Attack rating (Central Espanol / Albion FC)
- 0.48 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Central Espanol / Albion FC)
- 1.22 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Central Espanol vs Albion FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Central Espanol goals. Columns: Albion FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Central Espanol vs Albion FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Central Espanol vs Albion FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Espanol | 30% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Albion FC | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.41 |
| No | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Central Espanol or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Albion FC) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Albion FC win by 2+ | 24% | 4.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Central Espanol and Albion FC recent form
Central Espanol
0W 1D 5L
Albion FC
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Central Espanol at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-7
- Win rate
- 35%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.24
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 17
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Albion FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-6
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 0.94
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Central Espanol at home only, Albion FC away only.
Central Espanol vs Albion FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Central Espanol 2 · draws 4 · Albion FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Albion FC | 6-1 | Central Espanol | Uruguay Primera División |
| 2025-10-26 | Albion FC | 0-0 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| 2025-08-03 | Central Espanol | 1-1 | Albion FC | Segunda División |
| 2025-04-04 | Albion FC | 1-2 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| 2021-10-11 | Central Espanol | 3-4 | Albion FC | Segunda División |
| 2021-06-30 | Albion FC | 1-2 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| 2020-10-19 | Albion FC | 2-1 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| 2020-08-25 | Central Espanol | 0-0 | Albion FC | Segunda División |
| 2019-08-31 | Central Espanol | 0-0 | Albion FC | Segunda División |
| 2019-05-25 | Albion FC | 3-1 | Central Espanol | Segunda División |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Juventud v Penarol — match page 2026-10-23
- Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Wanderers vs Progreso 2026-10-25
- Atletico Torque v Cerro — match page 2026-10-25
- Cerro Largo vs Boston River — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Central Espanol, previous: Danubio vs Central Espanol: odds and pick
- Albion FC, previous: Albion FC v Atletico Torque analysis