FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids preview
FC Dallas has a 56% chance to win against Colorado Rapids, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 10%. The model also suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 59%. FC Dallas has shown mixed recent form with a record of D-L-W-D-W-L, while Colorado Rapids has not won in their last 6 matches, recording L-D-W-D-D-D.
Despite the favorable statistics for FC Dallas, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Colorado Rapids could potentially disrupt the expected outcome if they manage to improve their scoring, as their expected goals stand at 1.12 compared to FC Dallas's 1.96.
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids: model vs market
| Source | FC Dallas | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 30% |
| Published | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Dallas below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Dallas, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 2.05 | 2.10 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.70 | +0.00 |
| Colorado Rapids | 3.25 | 3.20 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Dallas and Colorado Rapids expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.07
- Attack rating (FC Dallas / Colorado Rapids)
- 1.02 / 0.87
- Defence rating (FC Dallas / Colorado Rapids)
- 0.93 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Dallas goals. Columns: Colorado Rapids goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Dallas | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | |
| Colorado Rapids | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Dallas or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Colorado Rapids) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Dallas win by 2+ | 34% | 2.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Dallas and Colorado Rapids recent form
FC Dallas
2W 2D 2L
Colorado Rapids
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Dallas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.81
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 9 penalties (78%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colorado Rapids away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-10
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.94
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Dallas at home only, Colorado Rapids away only.
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC Dallas 3 · draws 2 · Colorado Rapids 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Colorado Rapids | 1-2 | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-21 | FC Dallas | 3-1 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-02 | Colorado Rapids | 3-3 | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Dallas | 2-3 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-04-21 | Colorado Rapids | 2-1 | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-10-15 | FC Dallas | 1-1 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-07-09 | Colorado Rapids | 2-1 | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-10-01 | Colorado Rapids | 1-0 | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-04-10 | FC Dallas | 3-1 | Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| 2021-07-22 | Colorado Rapids | 2-0 | FC Dallas | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page 2026-11-07
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC 2026-11-08
- Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy 2026-11-08
- Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes — match page 2026-11-08
- Austin vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- FC Dallas, previous: Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas: odds and pick
- Colorado Rapids, previous: Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: odds and pick