Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire preview
In the match between Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire, the 1X2 probabilities show Colorado Rapids at 41%, while Chicago Fire sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance. Colorado Rapids have an expected goals figure of 1.43, compared to Chicago Fire's 1.21.
However, the prediction could be challenged if both teams score, which our model estimates at 55%. Recent form also plays a role, with Colorado Rapids recording W-D-D-D-L-D, and Chicago Fire showing a stronger W-L-L-W-W-W. This could influence the outcome, making it important to consider both teams' recent performances.
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: model vs market
| Source | Colorado Rapids | Draw | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.64
- Attack rating (Colorado Rapids / Chicago Fire)
- 0.78 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Colorado Rapids / Chicago Fire)
- 0.87 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Colorado Rapids goals. Columns: Chicago Fire goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Rapids | 41% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 | |
| Chicago Fire | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Colorado Rapids or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Chicago Fire) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Colorado Rapids win by 2+ | 20% | 4.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Colorado Rapids and Chicago Fire recent form
Colorado Rapids
1W 4D 1L
Chicago Fire
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Colorado Rapids at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-3-3
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.81
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Chicago Fire away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-5
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Colorado Rapids at home only, Chicago Fire away only.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Charlotte vs Orlando City SC 2026-10-31
- New York City FC v CF Montreal — match page 2026-10-31
- Columbus Crew vs DC United — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-31
- Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas — match page 2026-10-31
- St. Louis City vs San Diego — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake 2026-10-31
- Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Colorado Rapids, previous: San Jose Earthquakes – Colorado Rapids, 2026-10-29
- Chicago Fire, previous: Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC: odds and pick