Columbus Crew vs DC United preview
In the match between Columbus Crew and DC United, the 1X2 probabilities show Columbus Crew at 73% and DC United at 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a probability of 11%. Columbus Crew has an expected goals figure of 2.51, while DC United sits at 0.84.
Columbus Crew's recent form includes 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while DC United has struggled with 4 losses in their last 6. The model suggests a 65% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance for both teams to score. However, if DC United improves their performance, they could challenge the expected outcome.
Columbus Crew vs DC United: model vs market
| Source | Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Columbus Crew and DC United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.35
- Attack rating (Columbus Crew / DC United)
- 1.15 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Columbus Crew / DC United)
- 0.84 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Columbus Crew vs DC United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Columbus Crew goals. Columns: DC United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Columbus Crew vs DC United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Columbus Crew vs DC United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Columbus Crew | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.75 | |
| DC United | 10% | 10.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Columbus Crew or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or DC United) | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Columbus Crew win by 2+ | 52% | 1.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Columbus Crew and DC United recent form
Columbus Crew
4W 1D 1L
DC United
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Columbus Crew at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-6
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.19
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
DC United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-7-6
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Columbus Crew at home only, DC United away only.
Columbus Crew vs DC United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Columbus Crew 6 · draws 3 · DC United 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | DC United | 2-1 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-07-19 | Columbus Crew | 2-1 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-29 | DC United | 1-2 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-28 | DC United | 2-2 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-04-06 | Columbus Crew | 1-1 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-04-08 | DC United | 0-2 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-03-05 | Columbus Crew | 2-0 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-07-14 | DC United | 2-2 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-04-30 | Columbus Crew | 3-0 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2021-10-31 | DC United | 1-3 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Charlotte vs Orlando City SC 2026-10-31
- New York City FC v CF Montreal — match page 2026-10-31
- FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union 2026-10-31
- Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas — match page 2026-10-31
- St. Louis City vs San Diego — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake 2026-10-31
- Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin — match page 2026-10-31
- Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Columbus Crew, previous: FC Dallas v Columbus Crew analysis
- DC United, previous: Toronto FC – DC United, 2026-10-28