Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew preview
In the fixture between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew, the 1X2 probabilities show Chicago Fire at 43%, Columbus Crew at 33%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 7% chance. Chicago Fire has an expected goals figure of 1.35, while Columbus Crew is higher at 1.88.
Both teams to score stands at 64%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 63%. Chicago Fire's recent form shows 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while Columbus Crew has 5 wins and 1 draw in the same period. The head-to-head record favors Columbus Crew with 7 wins out of the last 10 encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew: model vs market
| Source | Chicago Fire | Draw | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 25% | 49% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Published | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Edge | -5% | 0% | +5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Chicago Fire, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 1.93 | 1.95 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.95 | +0.05 |
| Columbus Crew | 3.40 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.23
- Attack rating (Chicago Fire / Columbus Crew)
- 1.17 / 1.23
- Defence rating (Chicago Fire / Columbus Crew)
- 1.11 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chicago Fire goals. Columns: Columbus Crew goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chicago Fire | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | |
| Columbus Crew | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chicago Fire or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Columbus Crew) | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Chicago Fire win by 2+ | 12% | 8.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew recent form
Chicago Fire
3W 1D 2L
Columbus Crew
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chicago Fire at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-5
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.88
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 8 penalties (50%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Columbus Crew away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-9
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.88
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Chicago Fire at home only, Columbus Crew away only.
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Chicago Fire 1 · draws 2 · Columbus Crew 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Columbus Crew | 0-0 | Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-28 | Chicago Fire | 2-0 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-02-23 | Columbus Crew | 4-2 | Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-05-19 | Chicago Fire | 1-3 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-03-10 | Columbus Crew | 2-1 | Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-09-20 | Columbus Crew | 3-0 | Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-06-11 | Chicago Fire | 1-2 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-09-03 | Columbus Crew | 0-0 | Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-07-10 | Chicago Fire | 2-3 | Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| 2021-11-07 | Columbus Crew | 2-0 | Chicago Fire | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page 2026-11-07
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC 2026-11-07
- CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- DC United vs New York City FC 2026-11-07
- FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC — match page 2026-11-07
- Inter Miami vs Charlotte — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Chicago Fire, previous: Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire: odds and pick
- Columbus Crew, previous: Columbus Crew – DC United, 2026-10-31