Inter Miami vs Charlotte preview
In the match between Inter Miami and Charlotte, the 1X2 probabilities show Inter Miami at 61% to win, while Charlotte sits at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance of occurring. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals have a strong likelihood at 73% according to our model.
Inter Miami's recent form is strong with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Charlotte has mixed results with 4 wins and 2 losses in the same period. The expected goals are close, with Inter Miami at 1.97 and Charlotte at 1.81. If Charlotte's recent form improves significantly, it could challenge Inter Miami's expected dominance.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte: model vs market
| Source | Inter Miami | Draw | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| Market | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| Published | 61% | 18% | 20% |
| Edge | -7% | +1% | +5% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Inter Miami vs Charlotte odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Inter Miami, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 1.39 | 1.38 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 5.33 | 5.50 | +0.17 |
| Charlotte | 6.03 | 6.20 | +0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Inter Miami and Charlotte expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.79
- Attack rating (Inter Miami / Charlotte)
- 1.23 / 1.40
- Defence rating (Inter Miami / Charlotte)
- 0.94 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter Miami goals. Columns: Charlotte goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter Miami vs Charlotte
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 61% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.41 | |
| Charlotte | 20% | 4.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter Miami or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Charlotte) | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Miami win by 2+ | 24% | 4.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Inter Miami and Charlotte recent form
Inter Miami
4W 1D 1L
Charlotte
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter Miami at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-8-2
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 2.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Charlotte away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-7
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter Miami at home only, Charlotte away only.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Inter Miami 4 · draws 3 · Charlotte 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Charlotte | 0-0 | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-13 | Charlotte | 3-0 | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-09 | Inter Miami | 1-0 | Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-28 | Inter Miami | 1-1 | Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-07-03 | Charlotte | 1-2 | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-10-22 | Charlotte | 1-0 | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-10-19 | Inter Miami | 2-2 | Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-08-12 | Inter Miami | 4-0 | Charlotte | Leagues Cup |
| 2022-07-17 | Inter Miami | 3-2 | Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-05-07 | Charlotte | 1-0 | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page 2026-11-07
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC 2026-11-07
- Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew — match page 2026-11-07
- CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- DC United vs New York City FC 2026-11-07
- FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC — match page 2026-11-07
- Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Inter Miami, previous: New England Revolution vs Inter Miami prediction
- Charlotte, previous: Charlotte vs Orlando City SC: odds and pick