DC United vs New York City FC preview
In the fixture between DC United and New York City FC, the 1X2 probabilities show New York City FC at 43%, while DC United sits at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects New York City FC's expected goals of 1.48 compared to DC United's 1.02.
Both teams to score stands at 51%, suggesting a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net. However, DC United's recent form is concerning, with 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while New York City FC has only 1 win in their last 6. This recent performance could impact the outcome, despite the head-to-head record being even with 4 wins each in the last 10 encounters.
DC United vs New York City FC: model vs market
| Source | DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 29% | 47% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Published | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.02.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
DC United vs New York City FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on New York City FC, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | 2.95 | 3.00 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.50 | -0.05 |
| New York City FC | 2.22 | 2.25 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
DC United and New York City FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (DC United / New York City FC)
- 0.64 / 0.81
- Defence rating (DC United / New York City FC)
- 1.32 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
DC United vs New York City FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: DC United goals. Columns: New York City FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
DC United vs New York City FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for DC United vs New York City FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | DC United | 30% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 | |
| New York City FC | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (DC United or draw) | 57% | 1.75 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or New York City FC) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | New York City FC win by 2+ | 24% | 4.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
DC United and New York City FC recent form
DC United
1W 0D 5L
New York City FC
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
DC United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
New York City FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-6
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 9 penalties (78%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: DC United at home only, New York City FC away only.
DC United vs New York City FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: DC United 4 · draws 2 · New York City FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | New York City FC | 0-2 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-08-30 | New York City FC | 1-2 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-14 | DC United | 0-0 | New York City FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-09-14 | DC United | 1-1 | New York City FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-04-20 | New York City FC | 2-0 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-10-07 | DC United | 2-0 | New York City FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-03-18 | New York City FC | 3-2 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-09-01 | New York City FC | 1-2 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
| 2022-05-18 | DC United | 0-2 | New York City FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2021-10-23 | New York City FC | 6-0 | DC United | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page 2026-11-07
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC 2026-11-07
- Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew — match page 2026-11-07
- CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC — match page 2026-11-07
- Inter Miami vs Charlotte — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- DC United, previous: Columbus Crew – DC United, 2026-10-31
- New York City FC, previous: New York City FC vs CF Montreal prediction