Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC preview
In the match between Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Seattle Sounders at 45% and Los Angeles FC at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. The expected goals are 1.55 for Seattle Sounders and 1.21 for Los Angeles FC, indicating a slight edge for Seattle.
However, recent form suggests uncertainty. Seattle Sounders have recorded L-L-D-D-L in their last five matches, while Los Angeles FC has L-D-D-W-D-L. With both teams to score at 57% and Over 2.5 goals at 52%, the match could still swing in favor of Los Angeles FC if they find their scoring touch. The confidence grade is C, reflecting the potential for unpredictability.
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC: model vs market
| Source | Seattle Sounders | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Published | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.21.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Seattle Sounders, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 2.05 | 1.91 | -0.14 |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.80 | +0.08 |
| Los Angeles FC | 3.21 | 3.65 | +0.44 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.77
- Attack rating (Seattle Sounders / Los Angeles FC)
- 0.92 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Seattle Sounders / Los Angeles FC)
- 1.02 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Seattle Sounders goals. Columns: Los Angeles FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seattle Sounders | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Los Angeles FC | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| No | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Seattle Sounders or draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Los Angeles FC) | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Handicap -1 | Seattle Sounders win by 2+ | 23% | 4.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC recent form
Seattle Sounders
1W 2D 3L
Los Angeles FC
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Seattle Sounders at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-5
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Los Angeles FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-7-6
- Win rate
- 19%
- Goals for / match
- 1.19
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Seattle Sounders at home only, Los Angeles FC away only.
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Seattle Sounders 2 · draws 0 · Los Angeles FC 8.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Los Angeles FC | 1-0 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-05-15 | Los Angeles FC | 4-0 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-03-08 | Seattle Sounders | 5-2 | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-11-24 | Los Angeles FC | 1-2 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-08-29 | Seattle Sounders | 0-1 | Los Angeles FC | US Open Cup |
| 2024-08-18 | Seattle Sounders | 0-3 | Los Angeles FC | Leagues Cup |
| 2024-07-21 | Seattle Sounders | 0-3 | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2024-02-24 | Los Angeles FC | 2-1 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-11-27 | Seattle Sounders | 0-1 | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2023-06-22 | Los Angeles FC | 1-0 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Orlando City SC v New England Revolution — match page 2026-11-07
- Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- FC Dallas v Colorado Rapids — match page 2026-11-08
- Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy 2026-11-08
- Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes — match page 2026-11-08
- Austin vs Portland Timbers — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Seattle Sounders, previous: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders prediction
- Los Angeles FC, previous: Los Angeles FC v Minnesota United FC analysis