Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders preview
Vancouver Whitecaps face Seattle Sounders with a 42% chance of winning compared to 29% for both a draw and a Seattle victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, predicted at 10%. Vancouver's expected goals stand at 1.39, while Seattle's is lower at 1.11.
However, the match could end differently. With a 52% probability for both teams to score, there’s a reasonable chance Seattle could find the net. Recent form shows Vancouver with L-W-D-D-L-D, while Seattle has been stronger with D-D-L-W-W-W. This context could influence the final outcome, despite Vancouver's recent head-to-head advantage of 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders: model vs market
| Source | Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Vancouver Whitecaps / Seattle Sounders)
- 0.98 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Vancouver Whitecaps / Seattle Sounders)
- 0.79 / 0.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vancouver Whitecaps goals. Columns: Seattle Sounders goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Seattle Sounders | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vancouver Whitecaps or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Seattle Sounders) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vancouver Whitecaps win by 2+ | 21% | 4.88 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders recent form
Vancouver Whitecaps
1W 3D 2L
Seattle Sounders
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vancouver Whitecaps at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-4
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 15
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Seattle Sounders away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-6-6
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vancouver Whitecaps at home only, Seattle Sounders away only.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Vancouver Whitecaps 2 · draws 1 · Seattle Sounders 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Seattle Sounders | 0-2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-09-28 | Seattle Sounders | 2-2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-06-09 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3-0 | Seattle Sounders | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
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- New England Revolution v Inter Miami — match page 2026-11-02
- Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Vancouver Whitecaps, previous: Vancouver Whitecaps v San Diego analysis
- Seattle Sounders, previous: Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo prediction