Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC preview
In the match between Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Los Angeles FC at 49% and Minnesota United FC at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams are showing decent form, but Minnesota United FC has struggled recently, with 2 wins in their last 6 matches compared to Los Angeles FC's 1 win in the same period.
The expected goals suggest a strong attacking performance, with Los Angeles FC at 1.91 and Minnesota United FC at 1.37. The model indicates a 64% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance for both teams to score. However, if Minnesota United FC improves their form or if Los Angeles FC struggles defensively, these predictions could change.
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC: model vs market
| Source | Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.37.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.29
- Attack rating (Los Angeles FC / Minnesota United FC)
- 0.88 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Los Angeles FC / Minnesota United FC)
- 0.85 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Los Angeles FC goals. Columns: Minnesota United FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Los Angeles FC | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Minnesota United FC | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Los Angeles FC or draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Minnesota United FC) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Los Angeles FC win by 2+ | 29% | 3.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United FC recent form
Los Angeles FC
1W 4D 1L
Minnesota United FC
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Los Angeles FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-4-3
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.94
- Goals against / match
- 0.94
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 16
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Minnesota United FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-7
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.19
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Los Angeles FC at home only, Minnesota United FC away only.
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Los Angeles FC 3 · draws 0 · Minnesota United FC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Minnesota United FC | 0-1 | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-07-17 | Minnesota United FC | 0-1 | Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-02-22 | Los Angeles FC | 1-0 | Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
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- Los Angeles Galaxy v Austin — match page 2026-10-31
- Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders 2026-11-01
- Atlanta United FC v Toronto FC — match page 2026-11-01
- Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls 2026-11-01
- New England Revolution v Inter Miami — match page 2026-11-02
- Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Los Angeles FC, previous: Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction
- Minnesota United FC, previous: Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction