Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati preview
In the match between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, the 1X2 probabilities show Inter Miami at 72%, while FC Cincinnati sits at 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 3-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 3.05 for Inter Miami and 1.28 for FC Cincinnati.
Inter Miami's recent form is W-W-W-L-D-D, while FC Cincinnati has a mixed form of W-L-L-W-L-D. The high probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams to score at 69% suggest a dynamic match, but the confidence grade of C indicates potential uncertainty in the outcome.
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati: model vs market
| Source | Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72% | 15% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 72% | 15% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.33
- Attack rating (Inter Miami / FC Cincinnati)
- 1.39 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Inter Miami / FC Cincinnati)
- 0.94 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter Miami goals. Columns: FC Cincinnati goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Miami | 72% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.53 | |
| FC Cincinnati | 12% | 8.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.44 |
| No | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter Miami or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Cincinnati) | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Miami win by 2+ | 54% | 1.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati recent form
Inter Miami
3W 2D 1L
FC Cincinnati
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter Miami at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-7-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Cincinnati away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-7
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.73
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 15
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter Miami at home only, FC Cincinnati away only.
Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Inter Miami 2 · draws 1 · FC Cincinnati 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | FC Cincinnati | 3-5 | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-11-23 | FC Cincinnati | 0-4 | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-07-26 | Inter Miami | 0-0 | FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| 2025-07-16 | FC Cincinnati | 3-0 | Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
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- FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew 2026-10-29
- Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC — match page 2026-10-29
- Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City — team news & stats 2026-10-29
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Before and after this match
- Inter Miami, previous: New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami prediction
- FC Cincinnati, previous: DC United vs FC Cincinnati prediction