Briton Ferry vs Llandudno preview
In the fixture between Briton Ferry and Llandudno, the 1X2 probabilities show Briton Ferry at 37%, Llandudno at 36%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has an 8% probability. Both teams to score has a 60% chance, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 56%.
Briton Ferry's expected goals are 1.48, compared to Llandudno's 1.45, indicating a closely matched game. However, Briton Ferry's recent form of L-L-W-D-D-L contrasts sharply with Llandudno's poor run of L-L-L-L-L-D. This difference in form could impact the outcome, making the predictions less reliable.
Briton Ferry vs Llandudno: model vs market
| Source | Briton Ferry | Draw | Llandudno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Briton Ferry and Llandudno expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.93
- Attack rating (Briton Ferry / Llandudno)
- 0.74 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Briton Ferry / Llandudno)
- 1.15 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Briton Ferry vs Llandudno score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Briton Ferry goals. Columns: Llandudno goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Briton Ferry vs Llandudno goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Briton Ferry vs Llandudno
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Briton Ferry | 37% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Llandudno | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Briton Ferry or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Llandudno) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Briton Ferry win by 2+ | 18% | 5.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Briton Ferry and Llandudno recent form
Briton Ferry
1W 2D 3L
Llandudno
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Briton Ferry at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Llandudno away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-6
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Briton Ferry at home only, Llandudno away only.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Barry Town vs Trefelin — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC 2026-10-30
- Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach 2026-10-30
- Flint Town United v Holywell — match page 2026-10-30
- Cardiff MET vs Penybont 2026-10-31
- The New Saints v GAP Connah S Quay FC — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Briton Ferry, previous: Caernarfon Town – Briton Ferry, 2026-10-23
- Llandudno, previous: GAP Connah S Quay FC v Llandudno analysis