Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach preview
In the fixture between Colwyn Bay and Cambrian & Clydach, the 1X2 probabilities show Colwyn Bay at 74%, while Cambrian & Clydach sits at 11%. The most likely scoreline is 3-1, with an 8% chance. Colwyn Bay has a strong expected goals figure of 3.06 compared to Cambrian & Clydach's 1.19, indicating a significant attacking advantage.
Colwyn Bay's recent form includes four wins in their last six matches, while Cambrian & Clydach has lost three of their last five. This disparity could lead to a high-scoring match, as indicated by the 80% chance of Over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. However, if Cambrian & Clydach can improve their performance, they might challenge Colwyn Bay's dominance.
Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach: model vs market
| Source | Colwyn Bay | Draw | Cambrian & Clydach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.06 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Colwyn Bay and Cambrian & Clydach expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.26
- Attack rating (Colwyn Bay / Cambrian & Clydach)
- 1.09 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Colwyn Bay / Cambrian & Clydach)
- 0.78 / 1.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Colwyn Bay goals. Columns: Cambrian & Clydach goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colwyn Bay | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.76 | |
| Cambrian & Clydach | 11% | 9.07 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 4.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Colwyn Bay or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 85% | 1.17 | |
| X2 (draw or Cambrian & Clydach) | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Colwyn Bay win by 2+ | 56% | 1.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Colwyn Bay and Cambrian & Clydach recent form
Colwyn Bay
4W 1D 1L
Cambrian & Clydach
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Colwyn Bay at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-0
- Win rate
- 86%
- Goals for / match
- 2.14
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cambrian & Clydach away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 3.57
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Colwyn Bay at home only, Cambrian & Clydach away only.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Barry Town vs Trefelin — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC 2026-10-30
- Briton Ferry v Llandudno — match page 2026-10-30
- Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Flint Town United v Holywell — match page 2026-10-30
- Cardiff MET vs Penybont 2026-10-31
- The New Saints v GAP Connah S Quay FC — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Colwyn Bay, previous: Colwyn Bay – Cardiff MET, 2026-10-23
- Cambrian & Clydach, previous: Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK prediction