Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK preview
In the upcoming match between Cambrian & Clydach and Airbus UK, the 1X2 probabilities show a clear advantage for Airbus UK at 71%, compared to 14% for Cambrian & Clydach. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-3, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.54 for Cambrian & Clydach and 3.30 for Airbus UK.
The high probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 86% and both teams to score at 76% suggest a dynamic match. However, Cambrian & Clydach's recent form, with three wins in their last six matches, could influence the outcome. If they perform better than expected, it may challenge Airbus UK's dominance.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK: model vs market
| Source | Cambrian & Clydach | Draw | Airbus UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 42% |
| Published | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| Edge | -5% | -2% | +7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.30 vs 1.54.
- The market prices Airbus UK below our published probability: +7.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +13.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Airbus UK, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambrian & Clydach | 2.30 | 2.69 | +0.39 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.69 | +0.14 |
| Airbus UK | 2.60 | 2.19 | -0.42 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cambrian & Clydach and Airbus UK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.84
- Attack rating (Cambrian & Clydach / Airbus UK)
- 1.04 / 1.32
- Defence rating (Cambrian & Clydach / Airbus UK)
- 1.75 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cambrian & Clydach goals. Columns: Airbus UK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 76%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambrian & Clydach | 29% | 3.47 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 | |
| Airbus UK | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86% | 1.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 14% | 7.19 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76% | 1.32 |
| No | 24% | 4.16 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cambrian & Clydach or draw) | 51% | 1.96 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Airbus UK) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Airbus UK win by 2+ | 54% | 1.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cambrian & Clydach and Airbus UK recent form
Cambrian & Clydach
3W 0D 3L
Airbus UK
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cambrian & Clydach at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Airbus UK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cambrian & Clydach at home only, Airbus UK away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- The New Saints v Ammanford AFC — match page 2026-10-23
- Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff MET 2026-10-23
- Holywell v Penybont — match page 2026-10-23
- Trefelin vs Flint Town United — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno 2026-10-24
- Barry Town v Haverfordwest County AFC — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Cambrian & Clydach, previous: Cambrian & Clydach – Ammanford AFC, 2026-10-09
- Airbus UK, previous: Llandudno – Airbus UK, 2026-10-09