Flint Town United vs Holywell preview
Flint Town United faces Holywell with a 63% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 10% of the time. Flint Town United has an expected goals figure of 2.28, while Holywell sits at 1.10.
However, there are factors that could lead to a different outcome. Holywell has struggled recently, with a record of L-L-D-L-L-L, while Flint Town United has mixed results with W-L-W-W-L-L. Both teams to score stands at 61%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 66%, indicating potential for a high-scoring match.
Flint Town United vs Holywell: model vs market
| Source | Flint Town United | Draw | Holywell |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Flint Town United and Holywell expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.37
- Attack rating (Flint Town United / Holywell)
- 0.78 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Flint Town United / Holywell)
- 1.02 / 1.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Flint Town United vs Holywell score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Flint Town United goals. Columns: Holywell goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Flint Town United vs Holywell goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Flint Town United vs Holywell
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Flint Town United | 63% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.81 | |
| Holywell | 16% | 6.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Flint Town United or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Holywell) | 37% | 2.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Flint Town United win by 2+ | 41% | 2.42 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Flint Town United and Holywell recent form
Flint Town United
3W 0D 3L
Holywell
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Flint Town United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
Holywell away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Flint Town United at home only, Holywell away only.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Barry Town vs Trefelin — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFC 2026-10-30
- Briton Ferry v Llandudno — match page 2026-10-30
- Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach 2026-10-30
- Cardiff MET vs Penybont 2026-10-31
- The New Saints v GAP Connah S Quay FC — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Flint Town United, previous: Trefelin vs Flint Town United: odds and pick
- Holywell, previous: Holywell v Penybont analysis