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Zambia Super League · Matchday 6

Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades

Alin prediction Konkola Blades to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Makeni All StarsDrawKonkola Blades
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.96.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades preview

In the upcoming match between Makeni All Stars and Konkola Blades, the 1X2 probabilities show Konkola Blades at 63%, while Makeni All Stars is at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a 10% probability. This suggests a strong advantage for Konkola Blades, backed by their expected goals of 2.11 compared to Makeni's 0.96.

However, the match could see different outcomes if Makeni All Stars manages to improve their recent form, which includes three losses and one draw. Additionally, there is a 59% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score, indicating potential for more action than anticipated.

Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMakeni All StarsDrawKonkola Blades
Model15%22%63%
Market———
Published15%22%63%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.96.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Makeni All Stars and Konkola Blades expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.96Makeni All Stars
2.11Konkola Blades
Total expected goals
3.07
Attack rating (Makeni All Stars / Konkola Blades)
0.82 / 1.49
Defence rating (Makeni All Stars / Konkola Blades)
2.02 / 1.08

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.6% 8.8% 10.3% 7.2% 6.2% 1 3.5% 10.4% 9.9% 7.0% 6.0% 2 2.2% 4.5% 4.8% 3.4% 2.9% 3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 4+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3%

Rows: Makeni All Stars goals. Columns: Konkola Blades goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 59%
Over 3.5 37%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Makeni All Stars15%6.51
Draw22%4.55
Konkola Blades63%1.60
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559%1.69
Under 2.541%2.45
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.81
No45%2.24
Double chance1X (Makeni All Stars or draw)37%2.68
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or Konkola Blades)85%1.18
Handicap -1Konkola Blades win by 2+40%2.51
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Makeni All Stars and Konkola Blades recent form

Makeni All Stars 0W 1D 3L
Konkola Blades 4W 1D 1L

Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Makeni All Stars at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

Konkola Blades away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Makeni All Stars at home only, Konkola Blades away only.

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Konkola Blades to win Predicted score 0 – 2 C Bet on Konkola Blades