Updated

Zambia Super League · Matchday 5

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Power Dynamos

Alin prediction Man Utd Zambia Academy to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Man Utd Zambia AcademyDrawPower Dynamos

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Power Dynamos preview

In the upcoming match between Man Utd Zambia Academy and Power Dynamos, the 1X2 probabilities show a 44% chance for Man Utd Zambia Academy to win, compared to 24% for Power Dynamos. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Man Utd Zambia Academy has an expected goals figure of 1.25, while Power Dynamos sits at 0.87.

Despite the favorable odds for Man Utd Zambia Academy, the recent form of Power Dynamos, which includes two wins in their last three matches, could challenge this prediction. Additionally, both teams to score has a 43% probability, indicating that there is a chance for Power Dynamos to find the net. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Power Dynamos: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMan Utd Zambia AcademyDrawPower Dynamos
Model44%32%24%
Market———
Published44%32%24%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Man Utd Zambia Academy and Power Dynamos expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.25Man Utd Zambia Academy
0.87Power Dynamos
Total expected goals
2.12
Attack rating (Man Utd Zambia Academy / Power Dynamos)
1.49 / 1.22
Defence rating (Man Utd Zambia Academy / Power Dynamos)
1.00 / 0.79

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Power Dynamos score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.4% 9.1% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 1 13.8% 14.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 2 9.4% 8.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.3% 3 3.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: Man Utd Zambia Academy goals. Columns: Power Dynamos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Power Dynamos goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 35%
Over 3.5 16%
Both teams to score
43%
No goals (0–0)
13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Power Dynamos

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Man Utd Zambia Academy44%2.28
Draw32%3.16
Power Dynamos24%4.10
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535%2.82
Under 2.565%1.55
Both teams to scoreYes43%2.35
No57%1.74
Double chance1X (Man Utd Zambia Academy or draw)76%1.32
12 (either side)68%1.46
X2 (draw or Power Dynamos)56%1.78
Handicap -1Man Utd Zambia Academy win by 2+20%4.90
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Man Utd Zambia Academy and Power Dynamos recent form

Man Utd Zambia Academy 4W 1D 1L
Power Dynamos 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Man Utd Zambia Academy at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.50
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2

Power Dynamos away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Man Utd Zambia Academy at home only, Power Dynamos away only.

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Power Dynamos head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Man Utd Zambia Academy 0 · draws 1 · Power Dynamos 1.

Man Utd Zambia AcademyDrawsPower Dynamos
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-12Power Dynamos4-2Man Utd Zambia AcademyZambia Super League
2025-10-04Man Utd Zambia Academy0-0Power DynamosZambia Super League

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Man Utd Zambia Academy to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Man Utd Zambia Academy