Updated

Zambia Super League · Matchday 4

Power Dynamos vs Trident

Alin prediction Power Dynamos to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

23% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Power DynamosDrawTrident

Power Dynamos vs Trident preview

In the Zambia Super League fixture, Power Dynamos face Trident with a 53% chance of winning compared to Trident's 12%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which our model predicts at 23%. Power Dynamos have an expected goals figure of 1.11, while Trident sits at just 0.40.

However, the match could see surprises. Both teams to score is at 23%, and Over 2.5 goals is only 20%. Power Dynamos' recent form shows inconsistency with two wins and three losses in their last six matches. Trident has struggled as well, with a draw and a loss in their last two games.

Power Dynamos vs Trident: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePower DynamosDrawTrident
Model53%35%12%
Market———
Published53%35%12%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.40.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Power Dynamos and Trident expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.12Power Dynamos
0.40Trident
Total expected goals
1.52
Attack rating (Power Dynamos / Trident)
1.22 / 0.71
Defence rating (Power Dynamos / Trident)
0.79 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Power Dynamos vs Trident score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 22.9% 7.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 1 23.5% 10.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 2 13.7% 5.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 3 5.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Power Dynamos goals. Columns: Trident goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Power Dynamos vs Trident goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 77%
Over 1.5 46%
Over 2.5 20%
Over 3.5 7%
Both teams to score
23%
No goals (0–0)
23%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Power Dynamos vs Trident

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Power Dynamos53%1.89
Draw35%2.87
Trident12%8.14
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.520%5.10
Under 2.580%1.24
Both teams to scoreYes23%4.30
No77%1.30
Double chance1X (Power Dynamos or draw)88%1.14
12 (either side)65%1.53
X2 (draw or Trident)47%2.12
Handicap -1Power Dynamos win by 2+23%4.26
Push (exactly one goal)29%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Power Dynamos and Trident recent form

Power Dynamos 3W 0D 3L
Trident 0W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Power Dynamos at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Power Dynamos at home only, Trident away only.

Power Dynamos vs Trident head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Power Dynamos 0 · draws 2 · Trident 0.

Power DynamosDrawsTrident
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2024-05-18Trident0-0Power DynamosSuper League
2023-12-09Power Dynamos0-0TridentSuper League

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Power Dynamos to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Power Dynamos