Cruzeiro vs Remo preview
In the upcoming match between Cruzeiro and Remo, the 1X2 probabilities show Cruzeiro at 69%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 11%. Cruzeiro's expected goals stand at 2.01, while Remo's is just 0.89. This suggests a strong performance from Cruzeiro, who have won their last match against Remo.
However, Cruzeiro's recent form includes two losses in their last six games, which could affect their performance. Remo, despite a poor run of six games without a win, has drawn twice recently, hinting at potential resilience. The chances for Over 2.5 goals sit at 55%, while both teams to score is at 52%, indicating that while Cruzeiro may dominate, Remo could still find a way to contribute to the scoreline.
Cruzeiro vs Remo: model vs market
| Source | Cruzeiro | Draw | Remo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Published | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Cruzeiro vs Remo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cruzeiro, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-16.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 1.33 | 1.35 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 5.10 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| Remo | 8.50 | 7.80 | -0.70 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cruzeiro and Remo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.24
- Attack rating (Cruzeiro / Remo)
- 1.47 / 0.74
- Defence rating (Cruzeiro / Remo)
- 1.21 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cruzeiro vs Remo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cruzeiro goals. Columns: Remo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cruzeiro vs Remo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cruzeiro vs Remo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cruzeiro | 69% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.28 | |
| Remo | 12% | 8.09 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cruzeiro or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Remo) | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cruzeiro win by 2+ | 44% | 2.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cruzeiro and Remo recent form
Cruzeiro
4W 0D 2L
Remo
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cruzeiro at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-4-3
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Remo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-9
- Win rate
- 13%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.87
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cruzeiro at home only, Remo away only.
Injuries & availability
Cruzeiro absences
-
Gabriel Pec
broken leg
- Joao Marcelo yellow cards
-
L. Sinisterra
muscle injury
-
N. Villarreal
ankle injury
Remo absences
- D. Tchamba inactive
- Gabriel Taliari yellow cards
-
Joao Lucas
knee injury
-
Matheus Felipe
inactive
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Cruzeiro vs Remo head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Cruzeiro 2 · draws 0 · Remo 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Remo | 0-1 | Cruzeiro | Brazil Serie A |
| 2022-05-12 | Cruzeiro | 1-0 | Remo | Copa Do Brasil |
| 2022-04-20 | Remo | 2-1 | Cruzeiro | Copa Do Brasil |
| 2021-10-29 | Cruzeiro | 1-3 | Remo | Serie B |
| 2021-07-20 | Remo | 1-0 | Cruzeiro | Serie B |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Internacional v Botafogo — match page 2026-10-24
- Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Mirassol v Sao Paulo — match page 2026-10-24
- Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians 2026-10-24
- Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Santos v Bahia — match page 2026-10-25
- Coritiba vs Gremio 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Cruzeiro, previous: Gremio vs Cruzeiro: odds and pick
- Remo, previous: Remo vs RB Bragantino: odds and pick
- Remo, next: Remo vs Botafogo prediction