Remo vs Botafogo preview
In the Brazil Serie A fixture between Remo and Botafogo, the 1X2 probabilities show Remo at 39%, Botafogo at 34%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Remo, with an expected goals tally of Remo 1.20 and Botafogo 0.85.
While Remo's recent form includes three draws and three losses, Botafogo's form features two wins and a draw in their last six matches. The model indicates a 34% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance for both teams to score. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Remo vs Botafogo: model vs market
| Source | Remo | Draw | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Published | 38% | 28% | 33% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.85.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.60, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Remo vs Botafogo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Remo, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-20.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Remo | 2.55 | 2.54 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.50 | -0.05 |
| Botafogo | 2.62 | 2.58 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Remo and Botafogo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.05
- Attack rating (Remo / Botafogo)
- 0.74 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Remo / Botafogo)
- 1.02 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Remo vs Botafogo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Remo goals. Columns: Botafogo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Remo vs Botafogo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Remo vs Botafogo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Remo | 38% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Botafogo | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.41 |
| No | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Remo or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Botafogo) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Remo win by 2+ | 19% | 5.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Remo and Botafogo recent form
Remo
0W 3D 3L
Botafogo
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Remo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-7-6
- Win rate
- 19%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Botafogo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-8
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 15
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Remo at home only, Botafogo away only.
Remo vs Botafogo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Remo 1 · draws 0 · Botafogo 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Botafogo | 1-2 | Remo | Brazil Serie A |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Fluminense vs Internacional 2026-10-28
- Santos v Palmeiras — match page 2026-10-28
- RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc 2026-10-28
- Bahia vs Sao Paulo — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Coritiba vs Vitoria — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro — match page 2026-10-29
- Vasco DA Gama v Flamengo — match page 2026-10-29
- Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense — team news & stats 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Remo, previous: Cruzeiro vs Remo: odds and pick
- Botafogo, previous: Internacional – Botafogo, 2026-10-24