Remo vs Chapecoense-sc preview
In the upcoming match between Remo and Chapecoense-sc, the 1X2 probabilities show Remo at 55%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The model indicates a 52% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability for both teams to score. Remo's expected goals stand at 1.70, while Chapecoense-sc's is 1.06.
Remo's recent form includes 1 win and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, while Chapecoense-sc has lost 5 of their last 6 games. This could affect the outcome, especially if Chapecoense-sc manages to improve their performance. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc: model vs market
| Source | Remo | Draw | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Published | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.06.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.71, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Remo, 26 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Remo | 1.67 | 1.67 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.94 | 3.94 | +0.00 |
| Chapecoense-sc | 4.75 | 4.60 | -0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Remo and Chapecoense-sc expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.76
- Attack rating (Remo / Chapecoense-sc)
- 0.77 / 0.77
- Defence rating (Remo / Chapecoense-sc)
- 1.30 / 1.44
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Remo goals. Columns: Chapecoense-sc goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Remo vs Chapecoense-sc
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Remo | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | |
| Chapecoense-sc | 21% | 4.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Remo or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Chapecoense-sc) | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Remo win by 2+ | 28% | 3.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Remo and Chapecoense-sc recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Remo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-7-6
- Win rate
- 24%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 17
- They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chapecoense-sc away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-12
- Win rate
- 6%
- Goals for / match
- 0.65
- Goals against / match
- 1.88
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 17
- They have won 4 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Remo at home only, Chapecoense-sc away only.
Remo vs Chapecoense-sc head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Remo 1 · draws 2 · Chapecoense-sc 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Chapecoense-sc | 2-3 | Remo | Brazil Serie A |
| 2025-11-02 | Remo | 1-1 | Chapecoense-sc | Brazil Serie B |
| 2025-07-13 | Chapecoense-sc | 1-1 | Remo | Brazil Serie B |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Coritiba vs Santos — team news & stats 2026-11-18
- Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense — team news & stats 2026-11-18
- Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras 2026-11-18
- Gremio vs Bahia 2026-11-19
- Corinthians v Botafogo — match page 2026-11-19
- Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional — team news & stats 2026-11-19
- Vitoria v RB Bragantino — match page 2026-11-19
- Sao Paulo v Fluminense — match page 2026-11-20
Before and after this match
- Remo, previous: Palmeiras vs Remo: odds and pick
- Chapecoense-sc, previous: Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama: odds and pick