Updated

Brazil Serie A · Matchday 35

Remo vs Chapecoense-sc

· Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem· Referee A. Gomes Stefano

Alin prediction Remo to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RemoDrawChapecoense-sc
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.06.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Remo is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Remo1.71 Draw4.10 Chapecoense-sc5.00

Price as of

Expected return at 1.71: -6.4% per unit staked

Remo vs Chapecoense-sc preview

In the upcoming match between Remo and Chapecoense-sc, the 1X2 probabilities show Remo at 55%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The model indicates a 52% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability for both teams to score. Remo's expected goals stand at 1.70, while Chapecoense-sc's is 1.06.

Remo's recent form includes 1 win and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, while Chapecoense-sc has lost 5 of their last 6 games. This could affect the outcome, especially if Chapecoense-sc manages to improve their performance. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.

Remo vs Chapecoense-sc: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRemoDrawChapecoense-sc
Model51%26%23%
Market56%24%20%
Published55%24%21%
Edge-1%+1%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.06.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.71, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Remo vs Chapecoense-sc odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Remo, 26 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 1.67Now 1.67 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Remo1.671.67+0.00
Draw3.943.94+0.00
Chapecoense-sc4.754.60-0.15

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Remo and Chapecoense-sc expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.70Remo
1.06Chapecoense-sc
Total expected goals
2.76
Attack rating (Remo / Chapecoense-sc)
0.77 / 0.77
Defence rating (Remo / Chapecoense-sc)
1.30 / 1.44

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Remo vs Chapecoense-sc score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.5% 5.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 1 9.6% 12.6% 6.1% 2.1% 0.7% 2 9.1% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.6% 3 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 3.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: Remo goals. Columns: Chapecoense-sc goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Remo vs Chapecoense-sc goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 52%
Over 3.5 30%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Remo vs Chapecoense-sc

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Remo55%1.83
Draw24%4.10
Chapecoense-sc21%4.79
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552%1.92
Under 2.548%2.09
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.83
No45%2.20
Double chance1X (Remo or draw)79%1.26
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Chapecoense-sc)45%2.21
Handicap -1Remo win by 2+28%3.52
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Remo and Chapecoense-sc recent form

Remo 1W 3D 2L
Chapecoense-sc 1W 0D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Remo at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-7-6
Win rate
24%
Goals for / match
1.29
Goals against / match
1.29
Clean sheets
2 of 17
  • They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chapecoense-sc away

Record (W-D-L)
1-4-12
Win rate
6%
Goals for / match
0.65
Goals against / match
1.88
Clean sheets
0 of 17
  • They have won 4 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Remo at home only, Chapecoense-sc away only.

Remo vs Chapecoense-sc head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Remo 1 · draws 2 · Chapecoense-sc 0.

RemoDrawsChapecoense-sc
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-17Chapecoense-sc2-3RemoBrazil Serie A
2025-11-02Remo1-1Chapecoense-scBrazil Serie B
2025-07-13Chapecoense-sc1-1RemoBrazil Serie B

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Remo to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Remo