Updated

Brazil Serie B · Matchday 35

CRB vs Londrina

· Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio· Referee Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho

Full time2 – 1

Alin prediction was CRB to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CRBDrawLondrina

CRB vs Londrina: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCRBDrawLondrina
Model55%24%20%
Market70%18%12%
Published66%20%14%
Edge-4%+1%+2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.09.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

CRB vs Londrina odds movement

Median bookmaker price on CRB, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-22.

Opened 1.42Now 1.32 -0.09
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
CRB1.421.32-0.09
Draw4.425.00+0.58
Londrina6.498.00+1.51

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

CRB and Londrina expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.89CRB
1.09Londrina
Total expected goals
2.97
Attack rating (CRB / Londrina)
1.23 / 1.05
Defence rating (CRB / Londrina)
1.07 / 1.18

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CRB vs Londrina score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.2% 4.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 1 8.6% 11.5% 5.7% 2.1% 0.7% 2 9.1% 9.9% 5.4% 1.9% 0.7% 3 5.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4% 4+ 4.2% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%

Rows: CRB goals. Columns: Londrina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CRB vs Londrina goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 57%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CRB vs Londrina

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2CRB66%1.51
Draw20%5.01
Londrina14%7.26
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557%1.75
Under 2.543%2.33
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.75
No43%2.34
Double chance1X (CRB or draw)86%1.16
12 (either side)80%1.25
X2 (draw or Londrina)34%2.96
Handicap -1CRB win by 2+32%3.08
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

CRB and Londrina recent form

CRB 2W 1D 3L
Londrina 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CRB at home

Record (W-D-L)
9-3-5
Win rate
53%
Goals for / match
1.82
Goals against / match
1.12
Clean sheets
4 of 17
  • They have won 15 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Londrina away

Record (W-D-L)
3-3-11
Win rate
18%
Goals for / match
1.12
Goals against / match
1.71
Clean sheets
0 of 17
  • They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: CRB at home only, Londrina away only.

Expected lineups

CRB lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 1 Vitor Caetano
  2. 36 Lucas Lovat
  3. 33 Lyncon
  4. 22 Bressan
  5. 32 Hereda
  6. 21 Pedro Castro
  7. 97 Dadá Belmonte
  8. 10 Daniel
  9. 8 Crystopher
  10. 17 Thiaguinho
  11. 9 João Neto

Bench: Kevin, Reverson, Douglas Baggio, Matheus, Geovane, Vinicius Barata, Estevão, Fábio Alemão, Henri, De Lucca, Ygor Catatau

Londrina lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 34 Heron
  2. 4 Wallace
  3. 44 Caio Rodrigues
  4. 75 Kauê Leonardo
  5. 5 Tárik
  6. 28 Herbert
  7. 77 Guilherme Dantas
  8. 38 Geovane Meurer
  9. 7 Victor Hugo
  10. 99 Igor Bahia

Bench: Nino Paraíba, Lucas Marques, Gilberto, Pablo Dyego, André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da Silva, Gabriel Lacerda, João Coni, Guilherme Cachoeira, Artur, Mauricio Kozlinski, Kevyn

CRB vs Londrina head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: CRB 6 · draws 1 · Londrina 3.

CRBDrawsLondrina
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-04Londrina5-0CRBBrazil Serie B
2023-10-29Londrina1-1CRBSerie B
2023-07-01CRB2-1LondrinaSerie B
2022-08-30Londrina1-0CRBSerie B
2022-05-19CRB1-0LondrinaSerie B
2021-11-11CRB1-0LondrinaSerie B
2021-08-08Londrina0-2CRBSerie B
2019-08-31Londrina0-1CRBSerie B
2019-04-28CRB1-2LondrinaSerie B
2018-11-16Londrina1-2CRBSerie B

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Before and after this match