Operario-PR vs Athletic Club preview
In the match between Operario-PR and Athletic Club, the 1X2 probabilities show Operario-PR at 42%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (8%). The model suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 70%.
Operario-PR's recent form includes three losses and two draws, while Athletic Club has two losses and three draws in their last five matches. The head-to-head record favors Athletic Club with 2 wins against Operario-PR's 1 win in the last 3 encounters. This context could affect the outcome, as both teams are struggling for consistency.
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club: model vs market
| Source | Operario-PR | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Operario-PR and Athletic Club expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.56
- Attack rating (Operario-PR / Athletic Club)
- 1.08 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Operario-PR / Athletic Club)
- 1.36 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Operario-PR goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Operario-PR vs Athletic Club
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Athletic Club | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Operario-PR or draw) | 66% | 1.52 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Athletic Club) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Operario-PR win by 2+ | 23% | 4.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Operario-PR and Athletic Club recent form
Operario-PR
1W 2D 3L
Athletic Club
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Operario-PR at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-5
- Win rate
- 41%
- Goals for / match
- 1.35
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 17
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Athletic Club away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-7-5
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.19
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Operario-PR at home only, Athletic Club away only.
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Operario-PR 1 · draws 0 · Athletic Club 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Athletic Club | 0-1 | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B |
| 2025-10-08 | Operario-PR | 1-4 | Athletic Club | Brazil Serie B |
| 2025-06-14 | Athletic Club | 2-1 | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Sport Recife vs Criciuma 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Operario-PR, previous: America Mineiro – Operario-PR, 2026-10-17
- Athletic Club, previous: Avai – Athletic Club, 2026-10-18